Ishares III (Germany) Market Value

MAGR Etf  EUR 6.97  0.03  0.43%   
Ishares III's market value is the price at which a share of Ishares III trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ishares III Plc investors about its performance. Ishares III is selling for under 6.97 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 0.43 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's last reported lowest price was 6.94.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ishares III Plc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ishares III over a given investment horizon. Check out Ishares III Correlation, Ishares III Volatility and Ishares III Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ishares III.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ishares III's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ishares III is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ishares III's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ishares III 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ishares III's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ishares III.
0.00
09/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ishares III on September 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ishares III Plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ishares III over 90 days. Ishares III is related to or competes with UBS Fund, Vanguard Funds, IShares Core, and IShares Core. More

Ishares III Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ishares III's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ishares III Plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ishares III Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ishares III's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ishares III's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ishares III historical prices to predict the future Ishares III's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.396.977.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.316.897.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.376.957.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.806.917.02
Details

Ishares III Plc Backtested Returns

Currently, Ishares III Plc is very steady. Ishares III Plc holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.19, which attests that the entity had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Ishares III Plc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Ishares III's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1492, downside deviation of 0.6484, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.6986 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.15, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ishares III's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ishares III is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.82  

Very good predictability

Ishares III Plc has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ishares III time series from 2nd of September 2024 to 17th of October 2024 and 17th of October 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ishares III Plc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current Ishares III price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.82
Spearman Rank Test0.81
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Ishares III Plc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ishares III etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ishares III's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ishares III returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ishares III has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ishares III regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ishares III etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ishares III etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ishares III etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ishares III Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ishares III's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ishares III etf have on its future price. Ishares III autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ishares III autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ishares III etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ishares III Plc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

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Other Information on Investing in Ishares Etf

Ishares III financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ishares Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ishares with respect to the benefits of owning Ishares III security.