Marubeni (Germany) Market Value

MARA Stock  EUR 14.09  0.02  0.14%   
Marubeni's market value is the price at which a share of Marubeni trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Marubeni investors about its performance. Marubeni is trading at 14.09 as of the 30th of November 2024. This is a 0.14% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 14.09.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Marubeni and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Marubeni over a given investment horizon. Check out Marubeni Correlation, Marubeni Volatility and Marubeni Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Marubeni.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Marubeni's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marubeni is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marubeni's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Marubeni 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Marubeni's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Marubeni.
0.00
06/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 24 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Marubeni on June 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Marubeni or generate 0.0% return on investment in Marubeni over 540 days. Marubeni is related to or competes with New Residential, TROPHY GAMES, WisdomTree Investments, PennantPark Investment, GigaMedia, CapitaLand Investment, and Strategic Investments. Marubeni Corporation engages in various business activities worldwide More

Marubeni Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Marubeni's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Marubeni upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Marubeni Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Marubeni's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Marubeni's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Marubeni historical prices to predict the future Marubeni's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.1814.0916.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1612.0715.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.3313.2515.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.8114.3914.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Marubeni. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Marubeni's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Marubeni's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Marubeni.

Marubeni Backtested Returns

Marubeni has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0417, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0417% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Marubeni exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Marubeni's Mean Deviation of 1.5, standard deviation of 1.91, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.36, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Marubeni are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Marubeni is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Marubeni has a negative expected return of -0.0797%. Please make sure to verify Marubeni's potential upside, kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Marubeni performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

Marubeni has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Marubeni time series from 9th of June 2023 to 5th of March 2024 and 5th of March 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Marubeni price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Marubeni price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.99

Marubeni lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Marubeni stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Marubeni's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Marubeni returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Marubeni has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Marubeni regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Marubeni stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Marubeni stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Marubeni stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Marubeni Lagged Returns

When evaluating Marubeni's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Marubeni stock have on its future price. Marubeni autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Marubeni autocorrelation shows the relationship between Marubeni stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Marubeni.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Marubeni Stock

Marubeni financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marubeni Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marubeni with respect to the benefits of owning Marubeni security.