Victory Munder Small Fund Market Value

MASCX Fund  USD 12.68  0.03  0.24%   
Victory Munder's market value is the price at which a share of Victory Munder trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Victory Munder Small investors about its performance. Victory Munder is trading at 12.68 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.24% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.71.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Victory Munder Small and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Victory Munder over a given investment horizon. Check out Victory Munder Correlation, Victory Munder Volatility and Victory Munder Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Victory Munder.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Victory Munder's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Victory Munder is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Victory Munder's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Victory Munder 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Victory Munder's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Victory Munder.
0.00
11/29/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Victory Munder on November 29, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Victory Munder Small or generate 0.0% return on investment in Victory Munder over 360 days. Victory Munder is related to or competes with Mid-cap Value, Ab Discovery, Boston Partners, Northern Small, Hennessy Nerstone, Pace Smallmedium, and Vanguard Small-cap. Under normal circumstances, the fund seeks to invest at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, in equity securities and equity-like instruments of companies that are components of, or have characteristics similar to, the companies included in the MSCI All Country World Index and derivatives that are tied economically to securities of the Benchmark. More

Victory Munder Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Victory Munder's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Victory Munder Small upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Victory Munder Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Victory Munder's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Victory Munder's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Victory Munder historical prices to predict the future Victory Munder's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victory Munder's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.9712.6813.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8311.5413.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.8112.5213.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.6012.6612.72
Details

Victory Munder Small Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Victory Mutual Fund to be very steady. Victory Munder Small owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0738, which indicates the fund had a 0.0738% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Victory Munder Small, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Victory Munder's Semi Deviation of 0.6837, risk adjusted performance of 0.0562, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1351.55 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0518%. The entity has a beta of -0.0686, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Victory Munder are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Victory Munder is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.71  

Good predictability

Victory Munder Small has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Victory Munder time series from 29th of November 2023 to 27th of May 2024 and 27th of May 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Victory Munder Small price movement. The serial correlation of 0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Victory Munder price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.71
Spearman Rank Test0.76
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.13

Victory Munder Small lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Victory Munder mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Victory Munder's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Victory Munder returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Victory Munder has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Victory Munder regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Victory Munder mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Victory Munder mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Victory Munder mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Victory Munder Lagged Returns

When evaluating Victory Munder's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Victory Munder mutual fund have on its future price. Victory Munder autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Victory Munder autocorrelation shows the relationship between Victory Munder mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Victory Munder Small.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Victory Mutual Fund

Victory Munder financial ratios help investors to determine whether Victory Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Victory with respect to the benefits of owning Victory Munder security.
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