Madison Diversified Income Fund Market Value

MBLAX Fund  USD 13.24  0.05  0.38%   
Madison Diversified's market value is the price at which a share of Madison Diversified trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Madison Diversified Income investors about its performance. Madison Diversified is trading at 13.24 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.38% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.19.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Madison Diversified Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Madison Diversified over a given investment horizon. Check out Madison Diversified Correlation, Madison Diversified Volatility and Madison Diversified Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Madison Diversified.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Madison Diversified's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Madison Diversified is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Madison Diversified's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Madison Diversified 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Madison Diversified's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Madison Diversified.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Madison Diversified on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Madison Diversified Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Madison Diversified over 30 days. Madison Diversified is related to or competes with Madison Mid, Madison Moderate, Madison Moderate, Madison Investors, Madison Investors, Broadview Opportunity, and Madison Aggressive. The fund invests primarily in shares of other registered investment companies More

Madison Diversified Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Madison Diversified's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Madison Diversified Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Madison Diversified Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Madison Diversified's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Madison Diversified's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Madison Diversified historical prices to predict the future Madison Diversified's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.9913.2413.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.9413.1913.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.0413.2913.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.9813.1413.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Madison Diversified. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Madison Diversified's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Madison Diversified's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Madison Diversified.

Madison Diversified Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Madison Mutual Fund to be very steady. Madison Diversified has Sharpe Ratio of 0.19, which conveys that the entity had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Madison Diversified, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Madison Diversified's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1004, mean deviation of 0.2117, and Downside Deviation of 0.2951 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.047%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.24, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Madison Diversified's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Madison Diversified is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.71  

Good predictability

Madison Diversified Income has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Madison Diversified time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Madison Diversified price movement. The serial correlation of 0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Madison Diversified price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.71
Spearman Rank Test0.6
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Madison Diversified lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Madison Diversified mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Madison Diversified's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Madison Diversified returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Madison Diversified has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Madison Diversified regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Madison Diversified mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Madison Diversified mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Madison Diversified mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Madison Diversified Lagged Returns

When evaluating Madison Diversified's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Madison Diversified mutual fund have on its future price. Madison Diversified autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Madison Diversified autocorrelation shows the relationship between Madison Diversified mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Madison Diversified Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Madison Mutual Fund

Madison Diversified financial ratios help investors to determine whether Madison Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Madison with respect to the benefits of owning Madison Diversified security.
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