Mfs Maryland Municipal Fund Market Value
| MBMDX Fund | USD 10.01 0.01 0.10% |
| Symbol | Mfs |
Mfs Maryland 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mfs Maryland's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mfs Maryland.
| 01/02/2025 |
| 02/01/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Mfs Maryland on January 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mfs Maryland Municipal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mfs Maryland over 30 days. Mfs Maryland is related to or competes with World Energy, Invesco Energy, Goehring Rozencwajg, Short Oil, and Vanguard Energy. The fund invests, under normal market conditions, at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities and other investme... More
Mfs Maryland Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mfs Maryland's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mfs Maryland Municipal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.455 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.23) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.7 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.49) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4016 |
Mfs Maryland Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mfs Maryland's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mfs Maryland's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mfs Maryland historical prices to predict the future Mfs Maryland's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.013 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.0003) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0525 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mfs Maryland's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mfs Maryland Municipal Backtested Returns
Mfs Maryland Municipal has Sharpe Ratio of close to zero, which conveys that the entity had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Mfs Maryland exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Mfs Maryland's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.013, mean deviation of 0.194, and Downside Deviation of 0.455 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0202, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mfs Maryland's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mfs Maryland is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.73 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Mfs Maryland Municipal has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mfs Maryland time series from 2nd of January 2025 to 17th of January 2025 and 17th of January 2025 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mfs Maryland Municipal price movement. The serial correlation of -0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current Mfs Maryland price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.73 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.52 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Mfs Maryland Municipal lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Mfs Maryland mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mfs Maryland's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mfs Maryland returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mfs Maryland has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Mfs Maryland regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mfs Maryland mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mfs Maryland mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mfs Maryland mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Mfs Maryland Lagged Returns
When evaluating Mfs Maryland's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mfs Maryland mutual fund have on its future price. Mfs Maryland autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mfs Maryland autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mfs Maryland mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mfs Maryland Municipal.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund
Mfs Maryland financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Maryland security.
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