Madhav Copper (India) Market Value

MCL Stock   42.84  2.48  6.14%   
Madhav Copper's market value is the price at which a share of Madhav Copper trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Madhav Copper Limited investors about its performance. Madhav Copper is trading at 42.84 as of the 24th of November 2024, a 6.14 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 39.38.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Madhav Copper Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Madhav Copper over a given investment horizon. Check out Madhav Copper Correlation, Madhav Copper Volatility and Madhav Copper Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Madhav Copper.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Madhav Copper's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Madhav Copper is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Madhav Copper's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Madhav Copper 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Madhav Copper's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Madhav Copper.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Madhav Copper on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Madhav Copper Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Madhav Copper over 720 days. Madhav Copper is related to or competes with NMDC, Steel Authority, Embassy Office, Gujarat Narmada, Gujarat Alkalies, JTL Industries, and India Glycols. Madhav Copper is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Madhav Copper Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Madhav Copper's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Madhav Copper Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Madhav Copper Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Madhav Copper's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Madhav Copper's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Madhav Copper historical prices to predict the future Madhav Copper's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.7442.7545.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.1934.2047.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.7644.7747.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.6842.0144.35
Details

Madhav Copper Limited Backtested Returns

At this point, Madhav Copper is very steady. Madhav Copper Limited has Sharpe Ratio of 0.045, which conveys that the firm had a 0.045% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Madhav Copper, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Madhav Copper's Mean Deviation of 2.13, downside deviation of 2.16, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.025 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. Madhav Copper has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.22, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Madhav Copper's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Madhav Copper is expected to be smaller as well. Madhav Copper Limited right now secures a risk of 3.01%. Please verify Madhav Copper Limited maximum drawdown, skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to decide if Madhav Copper Limited will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.24  

Weak predictability

Madhav Copper Limited has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Madhav Copper time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Madhav Copper Limited price movement. The serial correlation of 0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Madhav Copper price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.24
Spearman Rank Test0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance8.45

Madhav Copper Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Madhav Copper stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Madhav Copper's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Madhav Copper returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Madhav Copper has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Madhav Copper regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Madhav Copper stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Madhav Copper stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Madhav Copper stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Madhav Copper Lagged Returns

When evaluating Madhav Copper's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Madhav Copper stock have on its future price. Madhav Copper autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Madhav Copper autocorrelation shows the relationship between Madhav Copper stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Madhav Copper Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Madhav Stock

Madhav Copper financial ratios help investors to determine whether Madhav Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Madhav with respect to the benefits of owning Madhav Copper security.