Methode Electronics (Germany) Market Value

ME5A Stock  EUR 8.40  0.10  1.18%   
Methode Electronics' market value is the price at which a share of Methode Electronics trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Methode Electronics investors about its performance. Methode Electronics is trading at 8.40 as of the 23rd of November 2024. This is a 1.18 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 8.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Methode Electronics and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Methode Electronics over a given investment horizon. Check out Methode Electronics Correlation, Methode Electronics Volatility and Methode Electronics Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Methode Electronics.
For more detail on how to invest in Methode Stock please use our How to Invest in Methode Electronics guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Methode Electronics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Methode Electronics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Methode Electronics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Methode Electronics 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Methode Electronics' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Methode Electronics.
0.00
08/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Methode Electronics on August 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Methode Electronics or generate 0.0% return on investment in Methode Electronics over 90 days. Methode Electronics is related to or competes with Amphenol, Hon Hai, Samsung SDI, Corning Incorporated, Mitsubishi Electric, and Sunny Optical. Methode Electronics, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets component and subsystem devices worldwide More

Methode Electronics Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Methode Electronics' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Methode Electronics upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Methode Electronics Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Methode Electronics' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Methode Electronics' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Methode Electronics historical prices to predict the future Methode Electronics' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.098.4011.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.586.8910.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.657.9611.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.348.438.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Methode Electronics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Methode Electronics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Methode Electronics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Methode Electronics.

Methode Electronics Backtested Returns

Methode Electronics has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0244, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0244% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Methode Electronics exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Methode Electronics' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), standard deviation of 3.57, and Mean Deviation of 2.6 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.64, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Methode Electronics' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Methode Electronics is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Methode Electronics has a negative expected return of -0.0809%. Please make sure to verify Methode Electronics' value at risk, skewness, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis , to decide if Methode Electronics performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Methode Electronics has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Methode Electronics time series from 25th of August 2024 to 9th of October 2024 and 9th of October 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Methode Electronics price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Methode Electronics price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test-0.53
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.38

Methode Electronics lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Methode Electronics stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Methode Electronics' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Methode Electronics returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Methode Electronics has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Methode Electronics regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Methode Electronics stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Methode Electronics stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Methode Electronics stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Methode Electronics Lagged Returns

When evaluating Methode Electronics' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Methode Electronics stock have on its future price. Methode Electronics autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Methode Electronics autocorrelation shows the relationship between Methode Electronics stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Methode Electronics.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Methode Stock

When determining whether Methode Electronics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Methode Electronics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Methode Electronics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Methode Electronics Stock:
Check out Methode Electronics Correlation, Methode Electronics Volatility and Methode Electronics Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Methode Electronics.
For more detail on how to invest in Methode Stock please use our How to Invest in Methode Electronics guide.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Methode Electronics technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Methode Electronics technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Methode Electronics trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...