Magnora ASA (Norway) Market Value

MGN Stock   24.90  1.30  5.51%   
Magnora ASA's market value is the price at which a share of Magnora ASA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Magnora ASA investors about its performance. Magnora ASA is selling for 24.90 as of the 23rd of November 2024. This is a 5.51% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 23.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Magnora ASA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Magnora ASA over a given investment horizon. Check out Magnora ASA Correlation, Magnora ASA Volatility and Magnora ASA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Magnora ASA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Magnora ASA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Magnora ASA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Magnora ASA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Magnora ASA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Magnora ASA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Magnora ASA.
0.00
12/04/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Magnora ASA on December 4, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Magnora ASA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Magnora ASA over 720 days. Magnora ASA is related to or competes with Aker Horizons, REC Silicon, Vow ASA, Saga Pure, and Kitron ASA. More

Magnora ASA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Magnora ASA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Magnora ASA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Magnora ASA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Magnora ASA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Magnora ASA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Magnora ASA historical prices to predict the future Magnora ASA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.8324.9026.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8821.9527.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.9724.0426.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.9224.0825.24
Details

Magnora ASA Backtested Returns

As of now, Magnora Stock is very steady. Magnora ASA has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0118, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0118% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Magnora ASA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Magnora ASA's Mean Deviation of 1.62, risk adjusted performance of 0.0391, and Downside Deviation of 2.02 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0243%. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.47, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Magnora ASA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Magnora ASA is expected to be smaller as well. Magnora ASA right now secures a risk of 2.05%. Please verify Magnora ASA value at risk, kurtosis, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to decide if Magnora ASA will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

Magnora ASA has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Magnora ASA time series from 4th of December 2022 to 29th of November 2023 and 29th of November 2023 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Magnora ASA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Magnora ASA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test0.41
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.47

Magnora ASA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Magnora ASA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Magnora ASA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Magnora ASA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Magnora ASA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Magnora ASA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Magnora ASA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Magnora ASA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Magnora ASA stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Magnora ASA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Magnora ASA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Magnora ASA stock have on its future price. Magnora ASA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Magnora ASA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Magnora ASA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Magnora ASA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Magnora Stock

Magnora ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Magnora Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Magnora with respect to the benefits of owning Magnora ASA security.