Ab Municipal Income Fund Market Value

MISHX Fund  USD 11.29  0.01  0.09%   
Ab Municipal's market value is the price at which a share of Ab Municipal trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ab Municipal Income investors about its performance. Ab Municipal is trading at 11.29 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.09 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ab Municipal Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ab Municipal over a given investment horizon. Check out Ab Municipal Correlation, Ab Municipal Volatility and Ab Municipal Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ab Municipal.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ab Municipal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ab Municipal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ab Municipal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ab Municipal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ab Municipal's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ab Municipal.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ab Municipal on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ab Municipal Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ab Municipal over 30 days. Ab Municipal is related to or competes with Alger Health, Baron Health, Invesco Global, The Hartford, Eventide Healthcare, Fidelity Advisor, and Lord Abbett. The fund pursues its objective by investing principally in high-yielding municipal securities that may be non-investment... More

Ab Municipal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ab Municipal's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ab Municipal Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ab Municipal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ab Municipal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ab Municipal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ab Municipal historical prices to predict the future Ab Municipal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0311.2911.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6410.9012.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.0611.3211.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1711.2911.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ab Municipal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ab Municipal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ab Municipal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ab Municipal Income.

Ab Municipal Income Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider MISHX Mutual Fund to be very steady. Ab Municipal Income retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0282, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0282% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Ab Municipal, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Ab Municipal's Coefficient Of Variation of 3035.64, standard deviation of 0.2548, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0256 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0073%. The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.1, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ab Municipal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ab Municipal is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.37  

Below average predictability

Ab Municipal Income has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ab Municipal time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ab Municipal Income price movement. The serial correlation of 0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Ab Municipal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.37
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Ab Municipal Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ab Municipal mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ab Municipal's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ab Municipal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ab Municipal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ab Municipal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ab Municipal mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ab Municipal mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ab Municipal mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ab Municipal Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ab Municipal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ab Municipal mutual fund have on its future price. Ab Municipal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ab Municipal autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ab Municipal mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ab Municipal Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in MISHX Mutual Fund

Ab Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether MISHX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MISHX with respect to the benefits of owning Ab Municipal security.
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