Global Centrated Portfolio Fund Market Value

MLNCX Fund  USD 23.14  0.06  0.26%   
Global Concentrated's market value is the price at which a share of Global Concentrated trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global Centrated Portfolio investors about its performance. Global Concentrated is trading at 23.14 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.26 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 23.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global Centrated Portfolio and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global Concentrated over a given investment horizon. Check out Global Concentrated Correlation, Global Concentrated Volatility and Global Concentrated Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global Concentrated.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Concentrated's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Concentrated is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Concentrated's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Global Concentrated 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global Concentrated's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global Concentrated.
0.00
12/04/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global Concentrated on December 4, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global Centrated Portfolio or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global Concentrated over 720 days. Global Concentrated is related to or competes with Morgan Stanley, Growth Portfolio, Virtus Kar, and Blackrock Science. The Adviser seeks to achieve the funds investment objective by investing primarily in U.S More

Global Concentrated Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global Concentrated's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global Centrated Portfolio upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global Concentrated Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global Concentrated's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global Concentrated's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global Concentrated historical prices to predict the future Global Concentrated's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Concentrated's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.2223.1424.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.1421.0625.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.0522.9723.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.8323.0623.29
Details

Global Centrated Por Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Global Mutual Fund to be very steady. Global Centrated Por holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.1, which attests that the entity had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Global Centrated Por, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Global Concentrated's Downside Deviation of 0.8914, market risk adjusted performance of (6.55), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.079 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0917%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0127, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Global Concentrated are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Global Concentrated is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.22  

Weak predictability

Global Centrated Portfolio has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global Concentrated time series from 4th of December 2022 to 29th of November 2023 and 29th of November 2023 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global Centrated Por price movement. The serial correlation of 0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Global Concentrated price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.22
Spearman Rank Test0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.59

Global Centrated Por lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global Concentrated mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global Concentrated's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global Concentrated returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global Concentrated has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global Concentrated regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global Concentrated mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global Concentrated mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global Concentrated mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global Concentrated Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global Concentrated's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global Concentrated mutual fund have on its future price. Global Concentrated autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global Concentrated autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global Concentrated mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global Centrated Portfolio.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global Concentrated financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Concentrated security.
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