Mfs Moderate Allocation Fund Market Value

MMABX Fund  USD 19.47  0.06  0.31%   
Mfs Moderate's market value is the price at which a share of Mfs Moderate trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mfs Moderate Allocation investors about its performance. Mfs Moderate is trading at 19.47 as of the 1st of February 2025; that is 0.31 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 19.53.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mfs Moderate Allocation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mfs Moderate over a given investment horizon. Check out Mfs Moderate Correlation, Mfs Moderate Volatility and Mfs Moderate Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mfs Moderate.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mfs Moderate's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mfs Moderate is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mfs Moderate's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mfs Moderate 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mfs Moderate's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mfs Moderate.
0.00
01/02/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mfs Moderate on January 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mfs Moderate Allocation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mfs Moderate over 30 days. Mfs Moderate is related to or competes with Mfs Prudent, Mfs Prudent, Mfs Prudent, Mfs Prudent, Mfs Prudent, Mfs Prudent, and Mfs Lifetime. The fund is designed to provide diversification among different asset classes by investing its assets in other mutual fu... More

Mfs Moderate Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mfs Moderate's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mfs Moderate Allocation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mfs Moderate Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mfs Moderate's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mfs Moderate's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mfs Moderate historical prices to predict the future Mfs Moderate's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.7619.4720.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8119.5220.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.8119.5220.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.5419.4720.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mfs Moderate. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mfs Moderate's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mfs Moderate's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mfs Moderate Allocation.

Mfs Moderate Allocation Backtested Returns

Mfs Moderate Allocation has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0458, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0458 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Mfs Moderate exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Mfs Moderate's Mean Deviation of 0.3941, risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Standard Deviation of 0.6907 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.24, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mfs Moderate's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mfs Moderate is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.37  

Below average predictability

Mfs Moderate Allocation has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mfs Moderate time series from 2nd of January 2025 to 17th of January 2025 and 17th of January 2025 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mfs Moderate Allocation price movement. The serial correlation of 0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Mfs Moderate price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.37
Spearman Rank Test0.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Mfs Moderate Allocation lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mfs Moderate mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mfs Moderate's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mfs Moderate returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mfs Moderate has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mfs Moderate regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mfs Moderate mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mfs Moderate mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mfs Moderate mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mfs Moderate Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mfs Moderate's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mfs Moderate mutual fund have on its future price. Mfs Moderate autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mfs Moderate autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mfs Moderate mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mfs Moderate Allocation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund

Mfs Moderate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Moderate security.
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