Lagardere SCA (France) Market Value

MMB Stock  EUR 21.00  0.20  0.94%   
Lagardere SCA's market value is the price at which a share of Lagardere SCA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Lagardere SCA investors about its performance. Lagardere SCA is trading at 21.00 as of the 29th of November 2024, a 0.94% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 21.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Lagardere SCA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Lagardere SCA over a given investment horizon. Check out Lagardere SCA Correlation, Lagardere SCA Volatility and Lagardere SCA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lagardere SCA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Lagardere SCA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lagardere SCA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lagardere SCA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Lagardere SCA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lagardere SCA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lagardere SCA.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lagardere SCA on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lagardere SCA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lagardere SCA over 30 days. Lagardere SCA is related to or competes with Television Francaise, Publicis Groupe, Bouygues, Accor S, and Vivendi SA. Lagardere SA engages in content publishing, production, broadcasting, and distribution businesses worldwide More

Lagardere SCA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lagardere SCA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lagardere SCA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lagardere SCA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lagardere SCA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lagardere SCA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lagardere SCA historical prices to predict the future Lagardere SCA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.9621.0022.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.2618.3023.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.3521.3922.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.7121.1421.57
Details

Lagardere SCA Backtested Returns

Lagardere SCA has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0838, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0838% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Lagardere SCA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Lagardere SCA's Mean Deviation of 0.8349, standard deviation of 1.07, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0516, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Lagardere SCA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Lagardere SCA is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Lagardere SCA has a negative expected return of -0.087%. Please make sure to verify Lagardere SCA's total risk alpha, kurtosis, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Lagardere SCA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.4  

Poor reverse predictability

Lagardere SCA has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lagardere SCA time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lagardere SCA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Lagardere SCA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.4
Spearman Rank Test-0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Lagardere SCA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Lagardere SCA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lagardere SCA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lagardere SCA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lagardere SCA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Lagardere SCA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lagardere SCA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lagardere SCA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lagardere SCA stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Lagardere SCA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Lagardere SCA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lagardere SCA stock have on its future price. Lagardere SCA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lagardere SCA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lagardere SCA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lagardere SCA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Lagardere Stock

Lagardere SCA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lagardere Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lagardere with respect to the benefits of owning Lagardere SCA security.