Moog Inc Preferred Stock Market Value
| MOG-B Preferred Stock | USD 178.27 19.29 9.76% |
| Symbol | Moog |
Moog 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Moog's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Moog.
| 09/03/2024 |
| 01/31/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Moog on September 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Moog Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Moog over 150 days. Moog is related to or competes with Curtiss Wright, Mercury Systems, Hexcel, Woodward, Park Electrochemical, Innovative Solutions, and Cadre Holdings. Moog Inc. designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls and systems for original equipment m... More
Moog Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Moog's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Moog Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.10) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.39) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.76 |
Moog Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Moog's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Moog's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Moog historical prices to predict the future Moog's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.48) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (4.48) |
Moog Inc Backtested Returns
Moog Inc has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0296, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0296 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Moog exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Moog's Mean Deviation of 1.24, standard deviation of 2.71, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0428, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Moog's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Moog is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Moog Inc has a negative expected return of -0.0801%. Please make sure to verify Moog's treynor ratio, skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and potential upside , to decide if Moog Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.53 |
Good reverse predictability
Moog Inc has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Moog time series from 3rd of September 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Moog Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Moog price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.53 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.2 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 141.58 |
Moog Inc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Moog preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Moog's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Moog returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Moog has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Moog regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Moog preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Moog preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Moog preferred stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Moog Lagged Returns
When evaluating Moog's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Moog preferred stock have on its future price. Moog autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Moog autocorrelation shows the relationship between Moog preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Moog Inc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Moog Preferred Stock
Moog financial ratios help investors to determine whether Moog Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Moog with respect to the benefits of owning Moog security.