Motor Oil Hellas Stock Market Value

MOHCY Stock  USD 9.00  0.00  0.00%   
Motor Oil's market value is the price at which a share of Motor Oil trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Motor Oil Hellas investors about its performance. Motor Oil is trading at 9.00 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 9.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Motor Oil Hellas and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Motor Oil over a given investment horizon. Check out Motor Oil Correlation, Motor Oil Volatility and Motor Oil Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Motor Oil.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Motor Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Motor Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Motor Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Motor Oil 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Motor Oil's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Motor Oil.
0.00
01/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 9 months and 28 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Motor Oil on January 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Motor Oil Hellas or generate 0.0% return on investment in Motor Oil over 300 days. Motor Oil is related to or competes with Cosan SA, Star Gas, Valvoline, Zoom Video, PayPal Holdings, Destiny Tech100, and Omega Healthcare. Motor Oil Corinth Refineries S.A. engages in oil refining and oil products trading in Greece and internationally More

Motor Oil Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Motor Oil's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Motor Oil Hellas upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Motor Oil Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Motor Oil's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Motor Oil's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Motor Oil historical prices to predict the future Motor Oil's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Motor Oil's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.559.0012.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.969.4112.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.019.4712.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.009.009.00
Details

Motor Oil Hellas Backtested Returns

Motor Oil Hellas has Sharpe Ratio of -0.12, which conveys that the firm had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Motor Oil exposes seventeen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Motor Oil's Standard Deviation of 3.87, risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Mean Deviation of 1.34 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.74, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Motor Oil are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Motor Oil is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Motor Oil Hellas has a negative expected return of -0.42%. Please make sure to verify Motor Oil's risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Motor Oil Hellas performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.18  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Motor Oil Hellas has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Motor Oil time series from 31st of January 2024 to 29th of June 2024 and 29th of June 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Motor Oil Hellas price movement. The serial correlation of -0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Motor Oil price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.18
Spearman Rank Test-0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.1

Motor Oil Hellas lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Motor Oil pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Motor Oil's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Motor Oil returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Motor Oil has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Motor Oil regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Motor Oil pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Motor Oil pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Motor Oil pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Motor Oil Lagged Returns

When evaluating Motor Oil's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Motor Oil pink sheet have on its future price. Motor Oil autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Motor Oil autocorrelation shows the relationship between Motor Oil pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Motor Oil Hellas.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Motor Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Motor Oil's price analysis, check to measure Motor Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Motor Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Motor Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Motor Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Motor Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Motor Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.