Moonpig Group (UK) Market Value
| MOON Stock | 226.50 8.00 3.66% |
| Symbol | Moonpig |
Moonpig Group 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Moonpig Group's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Moonpig Group.
| 01/02/2025 |
| 02/01/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Moonpig Group on January 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Moonpig Group PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in Moonpig Group over 30 days. Moonpig Group is related to or competes with Fulcrum Metals, Associated British, Roebuck Food, Atalaya Mining, Bell Food, Premier Foods, and Eastinco Mining. Moonpig Group is entity of United Kingdom More
Moonpig Group Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Moonpig Group's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Moonpig Group PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.9 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.78) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.91 |
Moonpig Group Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Moonpig Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Moonpig Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Moonpig Group historical prices to predict the future Moonpig Group's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.31) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.70) |
Moonpig Group PLC Backtested Returns
Moonpig Group PLC has Sharpe Ratio of -0.043, which conveys that the firm had a -0.043 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Moonpig Group exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Moonpig Group's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), standard deviation of 2.52, and Mean Deviation of 1.57 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.14, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Moonpig Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Moonpig Group is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Moonpig Group PLC has a negative expected return of -0.11%. Please make sure to verify Moonpig Group's value at risk, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if Moonpig Group PLC performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.05 |
Virtually no predictability
Moonpig Group PLC has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Moonpig Group time series from 2nd of January 2025 to 17th of January 2025 and 17th of January 2025 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Moonpig Group PLC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current Moonpig Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.05 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.4 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 28.91 |
Moonpig Group PLC lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Moonpig Group stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Moonpig Group's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Moonpig Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Moonpig Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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Moonpig Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Moonpig Group stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Moonpig Group stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Moonpig Group stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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Moonpig Group Lagged Returns
When evaluating Moonpig Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Moonpig Group stock have on its future price. Moonpig Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Moonpig Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Moonpig Group stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Moonpig Group PLC.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Moonpig Stock Analysis
When running Moonpig Group's price analysis, check to measure Moonpig Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moonpig Group is operating at the current time. Most of Moonpig Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moonpig Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moonpig Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moonpig Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.