Morpho Market Value

MORPHO Crypto   3.29  0.63  16.07%   
Morpho's market value is the price at which a share of Morpho trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Morpho investors about its performance. Morpho is trading at 3.29 as of the 22nd of January 2025, a 16.07% down since the beginning of the trading day. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Morpho and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Morpho over a given investment horizon. Check out Morpho Correlation, Morpho Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on Morpho.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Morpho's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Morpho value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Morpho's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.

Morpho 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Morpho's crypto coin what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Morpho.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
01/22/2025
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If you would invest  0.00  in Morpho on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Morpho or generate 0.0% return on investment in Morpho over 90 days. Morpho is related to or competes with Staked Ether, Phala Network, EigenLayer, DIA, and THENA. Morpho is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.

Morpho Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Morpho's crypto coin current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Morpho upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Morpho Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Morpho's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Morpho's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Morpho historical prices to predict the future Morpho's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.29332.29
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.21331.21
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Morpho. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Morpho's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Morpho's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Morpho.

Morpho Backtested Returns

Morpho is abnormally risky given 3 months investment horizon. Morpho has Sharpe Ratio of 0.13, which conveys that digital coin had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate data for twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 16.37% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Morpho Downside Deviation of 11.17, mean deviation of 3.5, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0664 to evaluate coin specific risk that cannot be diversified away. The crypto secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.51, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Morpho will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Morpho has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Morpho time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of December 2024 and 8th of December 2024 to 22nd of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Morpho price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Morpho price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.74
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.63

Morpho lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Morpho crypto coin's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Morpho's crypto coin expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Morpho returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Morpho has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the crypto coin is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Morpho regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Morpho crypto coin is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Morpho crypto coin is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Morpho crypto coin over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Morpho Lagged Returns

When evaluating Morpho's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Morpho crypto coin have on its future price. Morpho autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Morpho autocorrelation shows the relationship between Morpho crypto coin current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Morpho.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Morpho offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Morpho's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Morpho Crypto.
Check out Morpho Correlation, Morpho Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on Morpho.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Morpho technical crypto coin analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, crypto market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Morpho technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Morpho trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...