Meituan Stock Market Value

MPNGF Stock  USD 22.26  0.79  3.68%   
Meituan's market value is the price at which a share of Meituan trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Meituan investors about its performance. Meituan is trading at 22.26 as of the 23rd of November 2024. This is a 3.68% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 22.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Meituan and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Meituan over a given investment horizon. Check out Meituan Correlation, Meituan Volatility and Meituan Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Meituan.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Meituan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Meituan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Meituan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Meituan 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Meituan's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Meituan.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Meituan on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Meituan or generate 0.0% return on investment in Meituan over 30 days. Meituan is related to or competes with Delivery Hero, 1StdibsCom, Natural Health, Monotaro, Hour Loop, Liquidity Services, and Qurate Retail. Meituan operates an e-commerce platform for various services More

Meituan Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Meituan's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Meituan upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Meituan Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Meituan's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Meituan's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Meituan historical prices to predict the future Meituan's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.4822.2628.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.5418.3224.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.1920.9726.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.2423.3926.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Meituan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Meituan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Meituan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Meituan.

Meituan Backtested Returns

Meituan appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Meituan has Sharpe Ratio of 0.16, which conveys that the firm had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Meituan's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.92% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Meituan's Mean Deviation of 4.08, risk adjusted performance of 0.1436, and Downside Deviation of 5.89 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Meituan holds a performance score of 12. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.7, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Meituan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Meituan is likely to outperform the market. Please check Meituan's total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Meituan's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.34  

Below average predictability

Meituan has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Meituan time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Meituan price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Meituan price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.34
Spearman Rank Test-0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.45

Meituan lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Meituan pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Meituan's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Meituan returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Meituan has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Meituan regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Meituan pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Meituan pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Meituan pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Meituan Lagged Returns

When evaluating Meituan's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Meituan pink sheet have on its future price. Meituan autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Meituan autocorrelation shows the relationship between Meituan pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Meituan.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Meituan Pink Sheet

Meituan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Meituan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Meituan with respect to the benefits of owning Meituan security.