Msad Insurance Group Stock Market Value
| MSADF Stock | USD 20.95 2.74 11.57% |
| Symbol | MSAD |
MSAD Insurance 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MSAD Insurance's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MSAD Insurance.
| 09/29/2024 |
| 11/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in MSAD Insurance on September 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MSAD Insurance Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in MSAD Insurance over 60 days. MSAD Insurance is related to or competes with MSAD Insurance, Sompo Holdings, Allstate, Horace Mann, and Selective Insurance. MSAD Insurance Group Holdings, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides insurance and financial services worldwide More
MSAD Insurance Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MSAD Insurance's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MSAD Insurance Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.62 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.71) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.46 |
MSAD Insurance Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MSAD Insurance's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MSAD Insurance's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MSAD Insurance historical prices to predict the future MSAD Insurance's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0049 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.55) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.03) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MSAD Insurance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MSAD Insurance Group Backtested Returns
At this point, MSAD Insurance is not too volatile. MSAD Insurance Group retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0055, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0055% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for MSAD Insurance, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify MSAD Insurance's Standard Deviation of 3.49, mean deviation of 2.13, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0195%. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.81, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, MSAD Insurance's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding MSAD Insurance is expected to be smaller as well. MSAD Insurance Group currently owns a risk of 3.51%. Please verify MSAD Insurance Group standard deviation, potential upside, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and daily balance of power , to decide if MSAD Insurance Group will be following its current price history.
Auto-correlation | 0.18 |
Very weak predictability
MSAD Insurance Group has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MSAD Insurance time series from 29th of September 2024 to 29th of October 2024 and 29th of October 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MSAD Insurance Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current MSAD Insurance price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.18 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.34 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.89 |
MSAD Insurance Group lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is MSAD Insurance pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MSAD Insurance's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MSAD Insurance returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MSAD Insurance has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
MSAD Insurance regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MSAD Insurance pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MSAD Insurance pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MSAD Insurance pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
MSAD Insurance Lagged Returns
When evaluating MSAD Insurance's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MSAD Insurance pink sheet have on its future price. MSAD Insurance autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MSAD Insurance autocorrelation shows the relationship between MSAD Insurance pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MSAD Insurance Group.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in MSAD Pink Sheet
MSAD Insurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether MSAD Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MSAD with respect to the benefits of owning MSAD Insurance security.