Microsoft Stock Market Value

MSFT Stock  USD 465.95  14.81  3.28%   
Microsoft's market value is the price at which a share of Microsoft trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Microsoft investors about its performance. Microsoft is selling for under 465.95 as of the 25th of January 2026; that is 3.28% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 450.53.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Microsoft and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Microsoft over a given investment horizon. Check out Microsoft Correlation, Microsoft Volatility and Microsoft Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Microsoft.
For more information on how to buy Microsoft Stock please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide.
Symbol

Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Microsoft. If investors know Microsoft will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Microsoft listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.127
Dividend Share
3.4
Earnings Share
14.07
Revenue Per Share
39.528
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.184
The market value of Microsoft is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Microsoft that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Microsoft's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Microsoft's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Microsoft's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Microsoft's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Microsoft's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Microsoft is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Microsoft's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Microsoft 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Microsoft's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Microsoft.
0.00
10/27/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/25/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Microsoft on October 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Microsoft or generate 0.0% return on investment in Microsoft over 90 days. Microsoft is related to or competes with Apple, Alphabet, NVIDIA, SPS Commerce, DigitalOcean Holdings, and Godaddy. Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide More

Microsoft Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Microsoft's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Microsoft upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Microsoft Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Microsoft's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Microsoft's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Microsoft historical prices to predict the future Microsoft's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
465.66466.99468.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
419.36490.65491.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
453.50454.83456.17
Details
61 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
562.25617.86685.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Microsoft. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Microsoft's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Microsoft's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Microsoft.

Microsoft January 25, 2026 Technical Indicators

Microsoft Backtested Returns

Microsoft has Sharpe Ratio of -0.15, which conveys that the firm had a -0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Microsoft exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Microsoft's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), mean deviation of 1.04, and Standard Deviation of 1.31 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.31, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Microsoft's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Microsoft is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Microsoft has a negative expected return of -0.2%. Please make sure to verify Microsoft's treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Microsoft performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.42  

Average predictability

Microsoft has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Microsoft time series from 27th of October 2025 to 11th of December 2025 and 11th of December 2025 to 25th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Microsoft price movement. The serial correlation of 0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current Microsoft price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.42
Spearman Rank Test0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance142.91

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Microsoft Stock Analysis

When running Microsoft's price analysis, check to measure Microsoft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microsoft is operating at the current time. Most of Microsoft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microsoft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microsoft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microsoft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.