Microsoft Stock Market Value
| MSFT Stock | USD 401.84 2.53 0.63% |
| Symbol | Microsoft |
Is there potential for Systems Software market expansion? Will Microsoft introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Microsoft. Expected growth trajectory for Microsoft significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Microsoft listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.598 | Dividend Share 3.48 | Earnings Share 15.97 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.167 |
Investors evaluate Microsoft using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Microsoft's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Microsoft's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Microsoft's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Microsoft represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Microsoft's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Microsoft 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Microsoft's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Microsoft.
| 11/15/2025 |
| 02/13/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Microsoft on November 15, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Microsoft or generate 0.0% return on investment in Microsoft over 90 days. Microsoft is related to or competes with Apple, Alphabet, NVIDIA, SPS Commerce, DigitalOcean Holdings, and Godaddy. Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide More
Microsoft Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Microsoft's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Microsoft upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.20) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.28 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.9 |
Microsoft Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Microsoft's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Microsoft's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Microsoft historical prices to predict the future Microsoft's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.34) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.48) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.77) |
Microsoft February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.76) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (648.27) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Variance | 3.76 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.20) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.34) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.48) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.77) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.28 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.9 | |||
| Skewness | (2.03) | |||
| Kurtosis | 8.79 |
Microsoft Backtested Returns
Microsoft has Sharpe Ratio of -0.18, which conveys that the firm had a -0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Microsoft exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Microsoft's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12), mean deviation of 1.34, and Standard Deviation of 1.94 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.4, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Microsoft's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Microsoft is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Microsoft has a negative expected return of -0.37%. Please make sure to verify Microsoft's total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Microsoft performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.11 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Microsoft has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Microsoft time series from 15th of November 2025 to 30th of December 2025 and 30th of December 2025 to 13th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Microsoft price movement. The serial correlation of -0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Microsoft price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.11 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.21 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 853.92 |
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Additional Tools for Microsoft Stock Analysis
When running Microsoft's price analysis, check to measure Microsoft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microsoft is operating at the current time. Most of Microsoft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microsoft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microsoft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microsoft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.