Global Franchise Portfolio Fund Market Value

MSGFX Fund  USD 36.06  0.11  0.31%   
Global Franchise's market value is the price at which a share of Global Franchise trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global Franchise Portfolio investors about its performance. Global Franchise is trading at 36.06 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.31 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 35.95.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global Franchise Portfolio and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global Franchise over a given investment horizon. Check out Global Franchise Correlation, Global Franchise Volatility and Global Franchise Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global Franchise.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Franchise's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Franchise is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Franchise's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Global Franchise 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global Franchise's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global Franchise.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global Franchise on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global Franchise Portfolio or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global Franchise over 30 days. Global Franchise is related to or competes with Dreyfus Technology, Pgim Jennison, Technology Ultrasector, Janus Global, Mfs Technology, and Global Technology. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests in securities of issuers from at least three different countries, which... More

Global Franchise Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global Franchise's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global Franchise Portfolio upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global Franchise Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global Franchise's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global Franchise's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global Franchise historical prices to predict the future Global Franchise's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.5136.0636.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.4536.0036.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.6336.1836.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.2035.7536.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Global Franchise. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Global Franchise's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Global Franchise's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Global Franchise Por.

Global Franchise Por Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Global Mutual Fund to be very steady. Global Franchise Por holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0419, which attests that the entity had a 0.0419% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Global Franchise Por, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Global Franchise's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0464, market risk adjusted performance of 0.0626, and Downside Deviation of 0.5443 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0228%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.49, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Global Franchise's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Global Franchise is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.85  

Very good predictability

Global Franchise Portfolio has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global Franchise time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global Franchise Por price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Global Franchise price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.85
Spearman Rank Test0.75
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

Global Franchise Por lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global Franchise mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global Franchise's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global Franchise returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global Franchise has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global Franchise regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global Franchise mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global Franchise mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global Franchise mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global Franchise Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global Franchise's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global Franchise mutual fund have on its future price. Global Franchise autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global Franchise autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global Franchise mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global Franchise Portfolio.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global Franchise financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Franchise security.
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Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk