Morgan Stanley Government Fund Market Value

MSGVX Fund  USD 7.04  0.02  0.28%   
Morgan Stanley's market value is the price at which a share of Morgan Stanley trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Morgan Stanley Government investors about its performance. Morgan Stanley is trading at 7.04 as of the 3rd of February 2026; that is 0.28 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 7.06.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Morgan Stanley Government and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Morgan Stanley over a given investment horizon. Check out Morgan Stanley Correlation, Morgan Stanley Volatility and Morgan Stanley Performance module to complement your research on Morgan Stanley.
For more information on how to buy MORGAN Mutual Fund please use our How to Invest in Morgan Stanley guide.
Symbol

Understanding that Morgan Stanley's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Morgan Stanley represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Morgan Stanley's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

Morgan Stanley 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Morgan Stanley's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Morgan Stanley.
0.00
11/05/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/03/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Morgan Stanley on November 5, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Morgan Stanley Government or generate 0.0% return on investment in Morgan Stanley over 90 days. Morgan Stanley is related to or competes with Fidelity Series, Vanguard Long-term, Fidelity Sai, Us Treasury, Fidelity Long-term, T Rowe, and Us Treasury. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in a portfolio of U.S More

Morgan Stanley Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Morgan Stanley's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Morgan Stanley Government upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Morgan Stanley Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Morgan Stanley's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Morgan Stanley's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Morgan Stanley historical prices to predict the future Morgan Stanley's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Morgan Stanley's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.717.067.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.727.077.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.687.037.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.037.087.14
Details

Morgan Stanley February 3, 2026 Technical Indicators

Morgan Stanley Government Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider MORGAN Mutual Fund to be very steady. Morgan Stanley Government has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0285, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0285 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Morgan Stanley, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Morgan Stanley's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), mean deviation of 0.287, and Standard Deviation of 0.3751 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0101%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.1, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Morgan Stanley's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Morgan Stanley is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.36  

Below average predictability

Morgan Stanley Government has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Morgan Stanley time series from 5th of November 2025 to 20th of December 2025 and 20th of December 2025 to 3rd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Morgan Stanley Government price movement. The serial correlation of 0.36 indicates that just about 36.0% of current Morgan Stanley price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.36
Spearman Rank Test-0.14
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

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Other Information on Investing in MORGAN Mutual Fund

Morgan Stanley financial ratios help investors to determine whether MORGAN Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MORGAN with respect to the benefits of owning Morgan Stanley security.
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