Global Real Estate Fund Market Value

MSRDX Fund  USD 4.57  0.00  0.00%   
Global Real's market value is the price at which a share of Global Real trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global Real Estate investors about its performance. Global Real is trading at 4.57 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 4.57.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global Real Estate and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global Real over a given investment horizon. Check out Global Real Correlation, Global Real Volatility and Global Real Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global Real.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Global Real 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global Real's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global Real.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global Real on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global Real Estate or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global Real over 30 days. Global Real is related to or competes with Vanguard Global, The Hartford, Kinetics Global, Barings Global, Ab Global, Nuveen Global, and Rbb Fund. under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of the funds assets will be invested in equity securities of companies i... More

Global Real Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global Real's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global Real Estate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global Real Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global Real's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global Real's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global Real historical prices to predict the future Global Real's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.004.575.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.824.394.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.944.515.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.534.574.60
Details

Global Real Estate Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Global Mutual Fund to be not too volatile. Global Real Estate holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0339, which attests that the entity had a 0.0339% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Global Real Estate, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Global Real's Downside Deviation of 0.7601, market risk adjusted performance of 1.1, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0727 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0194%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0452, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Global Real's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Global Real is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Global Real Estate has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global Real time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global Real Estate price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Global Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.96
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Global Real Estate lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global Real mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global Real's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global Real returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global Real has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global Real regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global Real mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global Real mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global Real mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global Real Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global Real's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global Real mutual fund have on its future price. Global Real autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global Real autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global Real mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global Real Estate.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Real security.
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