Münchener Rück (Germany) Market Value

MUV2 Stock  EUR 491.80  6.30  1.30%   
Münchener Rück's market value is the price at which a share of Münchener Rück trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mnchener Rck AG investors about its performance. Münchener Rück is trading at 491.80 as of the 26th of November 2024. This is a 1.30 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 485.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mnchener Rck AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Münchener Rück over a given investment horizon. Check out Münchener Rück Correlation, Münchener Rück Volatility and Münchener Rück Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Münchener Rück.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Münchener Rück's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Münchener Rück is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Münchener Rück's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Münchener Rück 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Münchener Rück's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Münchener Rück.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Münchener Rück on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mnchener Rck AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in Münchener Rück over 30 days. Münchener Rück is related to or competes with MELIA HOTELS, MIRAMAR HOTEL, GREENX METALS, Lion One, and Sunstone Hotel. Mnchener Rckversicherungs-Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft in Mnchen engages in the insurance and reinsurance businesses ... More

Münchener Rück Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Münchener Rück's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mnchener Rck AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Münchener Rück Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Münchener Rück's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Münchener Rück's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Münchener Rück historical prices to predict the future Münchener Rück's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
490.59491.80493.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
489.09490.30540.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
498.25499.47500.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
461.70476.30490.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Münchener Rück. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Münchener Rück's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Münchener Rück's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mnchener Rck AG.

Mnchener Rck AG Backtested Returns

At this point, Münchener Rück is very steady. Mnchener Rck AG has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0162, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0162% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Münchener Rück, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Münchener Rück's Mean Deviation of 0.8809, risk adjusted performance of 0.0415, and Downside Deviation of 1.45 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0198%. Münchener Rück has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.63, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Münchener Rück's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Münchener Rück is expected to be smaller as well. Mnchener Rck AG right now secures a risk of 1.22%. Please verify Mnchener Rck AG coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Mnchener Rck AG will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.17  

Very weak predictability

Mnchener Rck AG has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Münchener Rück time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mnchener Rck AG price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Münchener Rück price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.17
Spearman Rank Test-0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance52.85

Mnchener Rck AG lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Münchener Rück stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Münchener Rück's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Münchener Rück returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Münchener Rück has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Münchener Rück regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Münchener Rück stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Münchener Rück stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Münchener Rück stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Münchener Rück Lagged Returns

When evaluating Münchener Rück's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Münchener Rück stock have on its future price. Münchener Rück autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Münchener Rück autocorrelation shows the relationship between Münchener Rück stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mnchener Rck AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Münchener Stock

Münchener Rück financial ratios help investors to determine whether Münchener Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Münchener with respect to the benefits of owning Münchener Rück security.