Mivne Real (Israel) Market Value

MVNE Stock  ILA 1,053  20.00  1.86%   
Mivne Real's market value is the price at which a share of Mivne Real trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mivne Real Estate investors about its performance. Mivne Real is trading at 1053.00 as of the 23rd of November 2024, a 1.86 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 1073.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mivne Real Estate and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mivne Real over a given investment horizon. Check out Mivne Real Correlation, Mivne Real Volatility and Mivne Real Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mivne Real.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mivne Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mivne Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mivne Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mivne Real 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mivne Real's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mivne Real.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mivne Real on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mivne Real Estate or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mivne Real over 30 days. Mivne Real is related to or competes with Azrieli, Alony Hetz, Israel Discount, Melisron, and Amot Investments. Mivne Real Estate Ltd engages in the initiation, purchase, construction, and management of buildings in Israel and inter... More

Mivne Real Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mivne Real's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mivne Real Estate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mivne Real Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mivne Real's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mivne Real's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mivne Real historical prices to predict the future Mivne Real's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0511,0531,055
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
966.85968.761,158
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0351,0361,038
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,0411,0601,079
Details

Mivne Real Estate Backtested Returns

Mivne Real appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Mivne Real Estate has Sharpe Ratio of 0.15, which conveys that the firm had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Mivne Real, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Mivne Real's Mean Deviation of 1.54, downside deviation of 2.01, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1222 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Mivne Real holds a performance score of 11. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.21, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mivne Real's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mivne Real is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Mivne Real's value at risk, downside variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Mivne Real's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.63  

Good predictability

Mivne Real Estate has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mivne Real time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mivne Real Estate price movement. The serial correlation of 0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Mivne Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.63
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance173.43

Mivne Real Estate lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mivne Real stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mivne Real's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mivne Real returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mivne Real has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mivne Real regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mivne Real stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mivne Real stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mivne Real stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mivne Real Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mivne Real's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mivne Real stock have on its future price. Mivne Real autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mivne Real autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mivne Real stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mivne Real Estate.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mivne Stock

Mivne Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mivne Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mivne with respect to the benefits of owning Mivne Real security.