Great West Aggressive Profile Fund Market Value

MXGTX Fund  USD 11.79  0.07  0.60%   
Great-west Aggressive's market value is the price at which a share of Great-west Aggressive trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Great West Aggressive Profile investors about its performance. Great-west Aggressive is trading at 11.79 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.60 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.72.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Great West Aggressive Profile and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Great-west Aggressive over a given investment horizon. Check out Great-west Aggressive Correlation, Great-west Aggressive Volatility and Great-west Aggressive Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Great-west Aggressive.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Great-west Aggressive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Great-west Aggressive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Great-west Aggressive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Great-west Aggressive 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Great-west Aggressive's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Great-west Aggressive.
0.00
09/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Great-west Aggressive on September 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Great West Aggressive Profile or generate 0.0% return on investment in Great-west Aggressive over 60 days. Great-west Aggressive is related to or competes with Great-west Moderate, Great-west Conservative, Great-west Moderately, and Great-west. The fund usually invests in underlying equity funds according to the following asset allocation ranges 10 percent to 40 ... More

Great-west Aggressive Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Great-west Aggressive's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Great West Aggressive Profile upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Great-west Aggressive Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Great-west Aggressive's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Great-west Aggressive's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Great-west Aggressive historical prices to predict the future Great-west Aggressive's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Great-west Aggressive's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1011.7912.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0411.7312.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.9411.6412.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.5511.7111.88
Details

Great West Aggressive Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Great-west Mutual Fund to be very steady. Great West Aggressive holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0151, which attests that the entity had a 0.0151% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Great West Aggressive, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Great-west Aggressive's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0173, market risk adjusted performance of 0.0913, and Downside Deviation of 0.8356 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0105%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.083, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Great-west Aggressive's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Great-west Aggressive is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.11  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Great West Aggressive Profile has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Great-west Aggressive time series from 27th of September 2024 to 27th of October 2024 and 27th of October 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Great West Aggressive price movement. The serial correlation of -0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Great-west Aggressive price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.11
Spearman Rank Test-0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Great West Aggressive lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Great-west Aggressive mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Great-west Aggressive's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Great-west Aggressive returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Great-west Aggressive has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Great-west Aggressive regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Great-west Aggressive mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Great-west Aggressive mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Great-west Aggressive mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Great-west Aggressive Lagged Returns

When evaluating Great-west Aggressive's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Great-west Aggressive mutual fund have on its future price. Great-west Aggressive autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Great-west Aggressive autocorrelation shows the relationship between Great-west Aggressive mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Great West Aggressive Profile.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Great-west Mutual Fund

Great-west Aggressive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great-west Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great-west with respect to the benefits of owning Great-west Aggressive security.
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