Great West Mfs International Fund Market Value

MXIGX Fund  USD 13.76  0.23  1.70%   
Great-west Mfs' market value is the price at which a share of Great-west Mfs trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Great West Mfs International investors about its performance. Great-west Mfs is trading at 13.73 as of the 3rd of December 2024; that is 1.70 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.53.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Great West Mfs International and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Great-west Mfs over a given investment horizon. Check out Great-west Mfs Correlation, Great-west Mfs Volatility and Great-west Mfs Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Great-west Mfs.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Great-west Mfs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Great-west Mfs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Great-west Mfs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Great-west Mfs 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Great-west Mfs' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Great-west Mfs.
0.00
12/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Great-west Mfs on December 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Great West Mfs International or generate 0.0% return on investment in Great-west Mfs over 360 days. Great-west Mfs is related to or competes with Gmo High, Calamos Dynamic, Versatile Bond, Ms Global, Rational/pier, and California Bond. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in common stocks and related securities of foreign compa... More

Great-west Mfs Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Great-west Mfs' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Great West Mfs International upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Great-west Mfs Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Great-west Mfs' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Great-west Mfs' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Great-west Mfs historical prices to predict the future Great-west Mfs' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8313.7614.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.7412.6715.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.9413.8714.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.4213.5913.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Great-west Mfs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Great-west Mfs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Great-west Mfs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Great West Mfs.

Great West Mfs Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Great-west Mutual Fund to be very steady. Great West Mfs holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.007, which attests that the entity had a 0.007% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Great West Mfs, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Great-west Mfs' Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0782, risk adjusted performance of 0.0072, and Downside Deviation of 0.8948 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0065%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0506, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Great-west Mfs are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Great-west Mfs is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.15  

Insignificant predictability

Great West Mfs International has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Great-west Mfs time series from 9th of December 2023 to 6th of June 2024 and 6th of June 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Great West Mfs price movement. The serial correlation of 0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current Great-west Mfs price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.15
Spearman Rank Test0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.08

Great West Mfs lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Great-west Mfs mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Great-west Mfs' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Great-west Mfs returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Great-west Mfs has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Great-west Mfs regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Great-west Mfs mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Great-west Mfs mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Great-west Mfs mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Great-west Mfs Lagged Returns

When evaluating Great-west Mfs' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Great-west Mfs mutual fund have on its future price. Great-west Mfs autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Great-west Mfs autocorrelation shows the relationship between Great-west Mfs mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Great West Mfs International.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Great-west Mutual Fund

Great-west Mfs financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great-west Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great-west with respect to the benefits of owning Great-west Mfs security.
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