Mycl Etf Market Value
| MYCL Etf | 24.25 0.02 0.08% |
| Symbol | MYCL |
The market value of MYCL is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MYCL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MYCL's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MYCL's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MYCL's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MYCL's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MYCL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MYCL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MYCL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
MYCL 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MYCL's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MYCL.
| 10/26/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in MYCL on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MYCL or generate 0.0% return on investment in MYCL over 30 days. MYCL is related to or competes with VanEck Vectors, Vanguard ESG, Vanguard Intermediate, Vanguard Long, Vanguard Short, MYCF, and MYCK. MYCL is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on NASDAQ exchange. More
MYCL Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MYCL's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MYCL upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.56) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.77) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.3662 |
MYCL Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MYCL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MYCL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MYCL historical prices to predict the future MYCL's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.15) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.38 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MYCL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MYCL Backtested Returns
MYCL retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.18, which conveys that the entity had a -0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. MYCL exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify MYCL's Coefficient Of Variation of (543.93), market risk adjusted performance of 1.39, and Mean Deviation of 0.2456 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The etf owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0531, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning MYCL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, MYCL is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.34 |
Below average predictability
MYCL has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MYCL time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MYCL price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current MYCL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.34 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.06 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
MYCL lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is MYCL etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MYCL's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MYCL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MYCL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
MYCL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MYCL etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MYCL etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MYCL etf over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
MYCL Lagged Returns
When evaluating MYCL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MYCL etf have on its future price. MYCL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MYCL autocorrelation shows the relationship between MYCL etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MYCL.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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MYCL technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.