Neuberger Berman Absolute Fund Market Value

NABEX Fund   12.27  0.03  0.24%   
Neuberger Berman's market value is the price at which a share of Neuberger Berman trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Neuberger Berman Absolute investors about its performance. Neuberger Berman is trading at 12.27 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.24 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Neuberger Berman Absolute and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Neuberger Berman over a given investment horizon. Check out Neuberger Berman Correlation, Neuberger Berman Volatility and Neuberger Berman Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Neuberger Berman.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Neuberger Berman's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Neuberger Berman is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Neuberger Berman's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Neuberger Berman 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Neuberger Berman's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Neuberger Berman.
0.00
06/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Neuberger Berman on June 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Neuberger Berman Absolute or generate 0.0% return on investment in Neuberger Berman over 540 days. The fund seeks to achieve its goal by allocating its assets to multiple subadvisers that employ a variety of investment ... More

Neuberger Berman Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Neuberger Berman's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Neuberger Berman Absolute upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Neuberger Berman Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Neuberger Berman's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Neuberger Berman's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Neuberger Berman historical prices to predict the future Neuberger Berman's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Neuberger Berman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0212.2712.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0112.2612.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9912.2412.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.2312.2712.32
Details

Neuberger Berman Absolute Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Neuberger Mutual Fund to be very steady. Neuberger Berman Absolute has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0747, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0747% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Neuberger Berman, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Neuberger Berman's Downside Deviation of 0.296, mean deviation of 0.1787, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0342 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0185%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.13, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Neuberger Berman's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Neuberger Berman is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.79  

Good predictability

Neuberger Berman Absolute has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Neuberger Berman time series from 8th of June 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Neuberger Berman Absolute price movement. The serial correlation of 0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Neuberger Berman price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.79
Spearman Rank Test0.75
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Neuberger Berman Absolute lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Neuberger Berman mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Neuberger Berman's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Neuberger Berman returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Neuberger Berman has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Neuberger Berman regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Neuberger Berman mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Neuberger Berman mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Neuberger Berman mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Neuberger Berman Lagged Returns

When evaluating Neuberger Berman's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Neuberger Berman mutual fund have on its future price. Neuberger Berman autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Neuberger Berman autocorrelation shows the relationship between Neuberger Berman mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Neuberger Berman Absolute.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Neuberger Mutual Fund

Neuberger Berman financial ratios help investors to determine whether Neuberger Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Neuberger with respect to the benefits of owning Neuberger Berman security.
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