Nasdaq (Germany) Market Value

NAQ Stock  EUR 76.89  1.58  2.10%   
Nasdaq's market value is the price at which a share of Nasdaq trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nasdaq Inc investors about its performance. Nasdaq is trading at 76.89 as of the 19th of January 2025. This is a 2.10% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 75.88.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nasdaq Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nasdaq over a given investment horizon. Check out Nasdaq Correlation, Nasdaq Volatility and Nasdaq Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nasdaq.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nasdaq's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nasdaq is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nasdaq's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nasdaq 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nasdaq's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nasdaq.
0.00
11/26/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 1 month and 25 days
01/19/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nasdaq on November 26, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nasdaq Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nasdaq over 420 days. Nasdaq is related to or competes with LONDON STEXUNSPADRS1/2, Deutsche Börse, Cboe Global, ASX, JAPAN EX, and SINGAPORE EXUNSPADR/15. Nasdaq, Inc. operates as a technology company that serves capital markets and other industries worldwide More

Nasdaq Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nasdaq's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nasdaq Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nasdaq Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nasdaq's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nasdaq's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nasdaq historical prices to predict the future Nasdaq's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.5276.8978.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
69.2088.6990.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
75.5976.9678.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
72.8375.1177.39
Details

Nasdaq Inc Backtested Returns

Nasdaq appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Nasdaq Inc has Sharpe Ratio of 0.15, which conveys that the firm had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Nasdaq, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Nasdaq's Mean Deviation of 1.03, downside deviation of 1.21, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1602 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Nasdaq holds a performance score of 11. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0985, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Nasdaq's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nasdaq is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Nasdaq's treynor ratio, downside variance, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Nasdaq's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.78  

Good predictability

Nasdaq Inc has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nasdaq time series from 26th of November 2023 to 23rd of June 2024 and 23rd of June 2024 to 19th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nasdaq Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Nasdaq price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.78
Spearman Rank Test0.76
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance50.64

Nasdaq Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nasdaq stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nasdaq's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nasdaq returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nasdaq has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nasdaq regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nasdaq stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nasdaq stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nasdaq stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nasdaq Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nasdaq's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nasdaq stock have on its future price. Nasdaq autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nasdaq autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nasdaq stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nasdaq Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Nasdaq Stock

When determining whether Nasdaq Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Nasdaq Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Nasdaq Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Nasdaq Inc Stock:
Check out Nasdaq Correlation, Nasdaq Volatility and Nasdaq Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nasdaq.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Nasdaq technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Nasdaq technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Nasdaq trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...