Northern Data (Germany) Market Value

NB2 Stock  EUR 34.95  0.55  1.60%   
Northern Data's market value is the price at which a share of Northern Data trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Northern Data AG investors about its performance. Northern Data is trading at 34.95 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 1.60 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 34.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Northern Data AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Northern Data over a given investment horizon. Check out Northern Data Correlation, Northern Data Volatility and Northern Data Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Northern Data.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Data's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Data is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Data's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Northern Data 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Northern Data's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Northern Data.
0.00
12/06/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Northern Data on December 6, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Northern Data AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in Northern Data over 720 days. Northern Data is related to or competes with SWISS WATER, ANTA SPORTS, Fukuyama Transporting, Fevertree Drinks, NTG Nordic, Transport International, and Thai Beverage. More

Northern Data Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Northern Data's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Northern Data AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Northern Data Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern Data's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Northern Data's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Northern Data historical prices to predict the future Northern Data's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.2534.9538.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.2026.9038.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.4838.1841.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.2534.7735.29
Details

Northern Data AG Backtested Returns

Northern Data appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Northern Data AG has Sharpe Ratio of 0.11, which conveys that the firm had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Northern Data, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Northern Data's Downside Deviation of 3.28, risk adjusted performance of 0.1116, and Mean Deviation of 2.58 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Northern Data holds a performance score of 8. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.7, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Northern Data's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Northern Data is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Northern Data's sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether Northern Data's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.04  

Very weak reverse predictability

Northern Data AG has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Northern Data time series from 6th of December 2022 to 1st of December 2023 and 1st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Northern Data AG price movement. The serial correlation of -0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current Northern Data price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.04
Spearman Rank Test0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance11.18

Northern Data AG lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Northern Data stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Northern Data's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Northern Data returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Northern Data has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Northern Data regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Northern Data stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Northern Data stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Northern Data stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Northern Data Lagged Returns

When evaluating Northern Data's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Northern Data stock have on its future price. Northern Data autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Northern Data autocorrelation shows the relationship between Northern Data stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Northern Data AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Northern Stock

Northern Data financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Data security.