NEBL Market Value
| NEBL Crypto | USD 0 0.000049 1.46% |
| Symbol | NEBL |
NEBL 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NEBL's crypto coin what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NEBL.
| 10/26/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in NEBL on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NEBL or generate 0.0% return on investment in NEBL over 30 days. NEBL is related to or competes with Sui, Staked Ether, Toncoin, Worldcoin, Chainlink, Wrapped Bitcoin, and Aptos. NEBL is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.
NEBL Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NEBL's crypto coin current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NEBL upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0899 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 40.87 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.24) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.99 |
NEBL Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NEBL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NEBL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NEBL historical prices to predict the future NEBL's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0975 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5297 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.22) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1796 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.78 |
NEBL Backtested Returns
NEBL appears to be extremely risky, given 3 months investment horizon. NEBL retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which conveys that digital coin had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting NEBL's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.58% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise NEBL's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.79, semi deviation of 1.67, and Mean Deviation of 1.79 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The crypto owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.32, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, NEBL's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding NEBL is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.56 |
Modest predictability
NEBL has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NEBL time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NEBL price movement. The serial correlation of 0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current NEBL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.56 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.64 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
NEBL lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is NEBL crypto coin's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting NEBL's crypto coin expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of NEBL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that NEBL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the crypto coin is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
NEBL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If NEBL crypto coin is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if NEBL crypto coin is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in NEBL crypto coin over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
NEBL Lagged Returns
When evaluating NEBL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of NEBL crypto coin have on its future price. NEBL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, NEBL autocorrelation shows the relationship between NEBL crypto coin current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NEBL.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether NEBL offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of NEBL's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nebl Crypto.Check out NEBL Correlation, NEBL Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on NEBL. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
NEBL technical crypto coin analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, crypto market cycles, or different charting patterns.