Needham Growth Fund Market Value

NEEIX Fund  USD 66.68  0.46  0.69%   
Needham Growth's market value is the price at which a share of Needham Growth trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Needham Growth investors about its performance. Needham Growth is trading at 66.68 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.69 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 66.22.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Needham Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Needham Growth over a given investment horizon. Check out Needham Growth Correlation, Needham Growth Volatility and Needham Growth Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Needham Growth.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Needham Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Needham Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Needham Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Needham Growth 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Needham Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Needham Growth.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Needham Growth on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Needham Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Needham Growth over 30 days. Needham Growth is related to or competes with Needham Aggressive, Needham Aggressive, Needham Growth, Needham Small, and Needham Small. The fund normally invests at least 65 percent of its total assets in the equity securities of domestic issuers listed on... More

Needham Growth Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Needham Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Needham Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Needham Growth Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Needham Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Needham Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Needham Growth historical prices to predict the future Needham Growth's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65.2566.6868.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.3866.8168.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
67.1868.6170.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
65.8666.7267.59
Details

Needham Growth Backtested Returns

Needham Growth has Sharpe Ratio of -0.02, which conveys that the entity had a -0.02% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Needham Growth exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Needham Growth's Mean Deviation of 1.1, standard deviation of 1.49, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.21, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Needham Growth will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.27  

Poor predictability

Needham Growth has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Needham Growth time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Needham Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current Needham Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.27
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.13

Needham Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Needham Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Needham Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Needham Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Needham Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Needham Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Needham Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Needham Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Needham Growth mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Needham Growth Lagged Returns

When evaluating Needham Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Needham Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Needham Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Needham Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Needham Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Needham Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Needham Mutual Fund

Needham Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Needham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Needham with respect to the benefits of owning Needham Growth security.
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