Neola Medical (Sweden) Market Value

NEOLA Stock   2.20  0.08  3.51%   
Neola Medical's market value is the price at which a share of Neola Medical trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Neola Medical AB investors about its performance. Neola Medical is selling for under 2.20 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 3.51 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 2.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Neola Medical AB and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Neola Medical over a given investment horizon. Check out Neola Medical Correlation, Neola Medical Volatility and Neola Medical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Neola Medical.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Neola Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Neola Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Neola Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Neola Medical 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Neola Medical's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Neola Medical.
0.00
02/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 9 months and 23 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Neola Medical on February 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Neola Medical AB or generate 0.0% return on investment in Neola Medical over 660 days. Neola Medical is related to or competes with Xvivo Perfusion, BICO Group, Bactiguard Holding, Stille AB, and SpectraCure. More

Neola Medical Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Neola Medical's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Neola Medical AB upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Neola Medical Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Neola Medical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Neola Medical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Neola Medical historical prices to predict the future Neola Medical's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.206.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.966.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.146.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.032.533.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Neola Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Neola Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Neola Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Neola Medical AB.

Neola Medical AB Backtested Returns

Neola Medical AB has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0943, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0943% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Neola Medical exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Neola Medical's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), mean deviation of 3.09, and Standard Deviation of 4.43 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.49, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Neola Medical's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Neola Medical is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Neola Medical AB has a negative expected return of -0.42%. Please make sure to verify Neola Medical's kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Neola Medical AB performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.68  

Very good reverse predictability

Neola Medical AB has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Neola Medical time series from 9th of February 2023 to 5th of January 2024 and 5th of January 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Neola Medical AB price movement. The serial correlation of -0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current Neola Medical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.68
Spearman Rank Test-0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.18

Neola Medical AB lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Neola Medical stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Neola Medical's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Neola Medical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Neola Medical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Neola Medical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Neola Medical stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Neola Medical stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Neola Medical stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Neola Medical Lagged Returns

When evaluating Neola Medical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Neola Medical stock have on its future price. Neola Medical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Neola Medical autocorrelation shows the relationship between Neola Medical stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Neola Medical AB.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Neola Stock Analysis

When running Neola Medical's price analysis, check to measure Neola Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Neola Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Neola Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Neola Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Neola Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Neola Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.