New World Fund Market Value

NEWCX Fund  USD 76.83  0.05  0.07%   
New World's market value is the price at which a share of New World trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of New World Fund investors about its performance. New World is trading at 76.83 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.07 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 76.78.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of New World Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in New World over a given investment horizon. Check out New World Correlation, New World Volatility and New World Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on New World.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between New World's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if New World is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, New World's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

New World 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to New World's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of New World.
0.00
11/06/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year and 26 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in New World on November 6, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding New World Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in New World over 390 days. New World is related to or competes with Smallcap World, Capital World, American Funds, Capital Income, and New Perspective. The fund invests primarily in common stocks of companies with significant exposure to countries with developing economie... More

New World Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure New World's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess New World Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

New World Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for New World's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as New World's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use New World historical prices to predict the future New World's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New World's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.1276.8377.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.5377.2477.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
75.5176.2176.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.1076.6577.19
Details

New World Fund Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider New Mutual Fund to be very steady. New World Fund has Sharpe Ratio of 0.017, which conveys that the entity had a 0.017% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for New World, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify New World's Standard Deviation of 0.745, mean deviation of 0.5404, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.012%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.44, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, New World's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding New World is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.50  

Modest predictability

New World Fund has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between New World time series from 6th of November 2023 to 19th of May 2024 and 19th of May 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of New World Fund price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current New World price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.5
Spearman Rank Test0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.67

New World Fund lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is New World mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting New World's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of New World returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that New World has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

New World regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If New World mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if New World mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in New World mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

New World Lagged Returns

When evaluating New World's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of New World mutual fund have on its future price. New World autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, New World autocorrelation shows the relationship between New World mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in New World Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in New Mutual Fund

New World financial ratios help investors to determine whether New Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in New with respect to the benefits of owning New World security.
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