Nexam Chemical (Sweden) Market Value

NEXAM Stock  SEK 3.87  0.13  3.25%   
Nexam Chemical's market value is the price at which a share of Nexam Chemical trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nexam Chemical Holding investors about its performance. Nexam Chemical is selling for under 3.87 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 3.25 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 3.87.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nexam Chemical Holding and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nexam Chemical over a given investment horizon. Check out Nexam Chemical Correlation, Nexam Chemical Volatility and Nexam Chemical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nexam Chemical.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nexam Chemical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nexam Chemical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nexam Chemical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nexam Chemical 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nexam Chemical's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nexam Chemical.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nexam Chemical on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nexam Chemical Holding or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nexam Chemical over 720 days. Nexam Chemical is related to or competes with Bjorn Borg, Diadrom Holding, Anoto Group, Cloetta AB, and Corline Biomedical. Nexam Chemical Holding AB develops solutions that enhance properties and performance of various types of polymers More

Nexam Chemical Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nexam Chemical's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nexam Chemical Holding upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nexam Chemical Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nexam Chemical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nexam Chemical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nexam Chemical historical prices to predict the future Nexam Chemical's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.633.877.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.243.486.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.884.127.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.844.044.24
Details

Nexam Chemical Holding Backtested Returns

Nexam Chemical Holding has Sharpe Ratio of -0.11, which conveys that the firm had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Nexam Chemical exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Nexam Chemical's Mean Deviation of 2.3, standard deviation of 3.21, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0167, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Nexam Chemical's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nexam Chemical is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Nexam Chemical Holding has a negative expected return of -0.35%. Please make sure to verify Nexam Chemical's potential upside, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and price action indicator , to decide if Nexam Chemical Holding performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.71  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Nexam Chemical Holding has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nexam Chemical time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nexam Chemical Holding price movement. The serial correlation of -0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Nexam Chemical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.71
Spearman Rank Test-0.74
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.57

Nexam Chemical Holding lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nexam Chemical stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nexam Chemical's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nexam Chemical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nexam Chemical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nexam Chemical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nexam Chemical stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nexam Chemical stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nexam Chemical stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nexam Chemical Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nexam Chemical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nexam Chemical stock have on its future price. Nexam Chemical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nexam Chemical autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nexam Chemical stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nexam Chemical Holding.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Nexam Stock Analysis

When running Nexam Chemical's price analysis, check to measure Nexam Chemical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nexam Chemical is operating at the current time. Most of Nexam Chemical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nexam Chemical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nexam Chemical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nexam Chemical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.