Nike (Germany) Market Value
| NKE Stock | 74.73 0.40 0.54% |
| Symbol | Nike |
Nike 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nike's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nike.
| 11/18/2024 |
| 12/18/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Nike on November 18, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nike Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nike over 30 days. Nike is related to or competes with Deckers Outdoor, Superior Plus, NMI Holdings, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, NorAm Drilling, BANK HANDLOWY, and Norsk Hydro. More
Nike Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nike's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nike Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.01 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.56 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.59 |
Nike Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nike's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nike's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nike historical prices to predict the future Nike's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0425 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0426 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0098 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1353 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nike's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nike Inc Backtested Returns
Currently, Nike Inc is very steady. Nike Inc has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0285, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0285% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Nike, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Nike's Mean Deviation of 1.15, downside deviation of 1.69, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0425 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0475%. Nike has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.55, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Nike's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nike is expected to be smaller as well. Nike Inc right now secures a risk of 1.66%. Please verify Nike Inc sortino ratio, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Nike Inc will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation | -0.32 |
Poor reverse predictability
Nike Inc has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nike time series from 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024 and 3rd of December 2024 to 18th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nike Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current Nike price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.32 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.03 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.48 |
Nike Inc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Nike stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nike's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nike returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nike has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Nike regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nike stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nike stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nike stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Nike Lagged Returns
When evaluating Nike's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nike stock have on its future price. Nike autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nike autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nike stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nike Inc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Nike Stock Analysis
When running Nike's price analysis, check to measure Nike's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nike is operating at the current time. Most of Nike's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nike's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nike's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nike to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.