Namibia Critical Metals Stock Market Value

NMREF Stock  USD 0.02  0  15.79%   
Namibia Critical's market value is the price at which a share of Namibia Critical trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Namibia Critical Metals investors about its performance. Namibia Critical is trading at 0.022 as of the 24th of November 2024. This is a 15.79 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.022.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Namibia Critical Metals and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Namibia Critical over a given investment horizon. Check out Namibia Critical Correlation, Namibia Critical Volatility and Namibia Critical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Namibia Critical.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Namibia Critical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Namibia Critical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Namibia Critical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Namibia Critical 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Namibia Critical's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Namibia Critical.
0.00
05/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 24 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Namibia Critical on May 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Namibia Critical Metals or generate 0.0% return on investment in Namibia Critical over 570 days. Namibia Critical is related to or competes with Azimut Exploration, and FPX Nickel. Namibia Critical Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of critical met... More

Namibia Critical Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Namibia Critical's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Namibia Critical Metals upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Namibia Critical Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Namibia Critical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Namibia Critical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Namibia Critical historical prices to predict the future Namibia Critical's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Namibia Critical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.028.72
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.028.72
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Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.028.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.020.02
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Namibia Critical Metals Backtested Returns

At this point, Namibia Critical is out of control. Namibia Critical Metals has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0137, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0137% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Namibia Critical, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Namibia Critical's Mean Deviation of 5.83, risk adjusted performance of 0.0149, and Downside Deviation of 10.88 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. Namibia Critical has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.06, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Namibia Critical will likely underperform. Namibia Critical Metals right now secures a risk of 8.7%. Please verify Namibia Critical Metals treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to decide if Namibia Critical Metals will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.78  

Good predictability

Namibia Critical Metals has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Namibia Critical time series from 4th of May 2023 to 13th of February 2024 and 13th of February 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Namibia Critical Metals price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Namibia Critical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.78
Spearman Rank Test0.79
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Namibia Critical Metals lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Namibia Critical pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Namibia Critical's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Namibia Critical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Namibia Critical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Namibia Critical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Namibia Critical pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Namibia Critical pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Namibia Critical pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Namibia Critical Lagged Returns

When evaluating Namibia Critical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Namibia Critical pink sheet have on its future price. Namibia Critical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Namibia Critical autocorrelation shows the relationship between Namibia Critical pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Namibia Critical Metals.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Namibia Pink Sheet

Namibia Critical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Namibia Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Namibia with respect to the benefits of owning Namibia Critical security.