Northern Emerging Markets Fund Market Value

NOEMX Fund  USD 11.63  0.02  0.17%   
Northern Emerging's market value is the price at which a share of Northern Emerging trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Northern Emerging Markets investors about its performance. Northern Emerging is trading at 11.63 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.17% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.61.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Northern Emerging Markets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Northern Emerging over a given investment horizon. Check out Northern Emerging Correlation, Northern Emerging Volatility and Northern Emerging Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Northern Emerging.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Northern Emerging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Northern Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Northern Emerging.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Northern Emerging on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Northern Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Northern Emerging over 30 days. Northern Emerging is related to or competes with Blackrock High, Virtus High, Ppm High, Pace High, Fidelity Capital, Multi Manager, and Guggenheim High. The fund will invest substantially all of its net assets in equity securities, in weightings that approximate the relati... More

Northern Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Northern Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Northern Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Northern Emerging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Northern Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Northern Emerging historical prices to predict the future Northern Emerging's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6611.6312.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.7411.7112.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3711.3312.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.5911.6411.69
Details

Northern Emerging Markets Backtested Returns

Northern Emerging Markets has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0022, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0022% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Northern Emerging exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Northern Emerging's Downside Deviation of 0.9842, risk adjusted performance of 0.0055, and Mean Deviation of 0.6948 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.27, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Northern Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Northern Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.36  

Below average predictability

Northern Emerging Markets has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Northern Emerging time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Northern Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of 0.36 indicates that just about 36.0% of current Northern Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.36
Spearman Rank Test-0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Northern Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Northern Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Northern Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Northern Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Northern Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Northern Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Northern Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Northern Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Northern Emerging mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Northern Emerging Lagged Returns

When evaluating Northern Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Northern Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Northern Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Northern Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Northern Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Northern Emerging Markets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Northern Mutual Fund

Northern Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Emerging security.
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