Nokia Stock Market Value

NOKBF Stock  USD 4.17  0.07  1.71%   
Nokia's market value is the price at which a share of Nokia trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nokia investors about its performance. Nokia is trading at 4.17 as of the 24th of November 2024. This is a 1.71% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.16.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nokia and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nokia over a given investment horizon. Check out Nokia Correlation, Nokia Volatility and Nokia Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nokia.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nokia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nokia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nokia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nokia 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nokia's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nokia.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nokia on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nokia or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nokia over 30 days. Nokia is related to or competes with Mynaric AG, Knowles Cor, Comtech Telecommunicatio, Ituran Location, Aviat Networks, KVH Industries, and NETGEAR. Nokia Oyj provides mobile, fixed, and cloud network solutions worldwide More

Nokia Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nokia's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nokia upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nokia Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nokia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nokia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nokia historical prices to predict the future Nokia's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.624.106.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.133.616.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.513.996.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.064.124.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nokia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nokia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nokia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nokia.

Nokia Backtested Returns

At this point, Nokia is moderately volatile. Nokia has Sharpe Ratio of 0.021, which conveys that the firm had a 0.021% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Nokia, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Nokia's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.024, mean deviation of 1.69, and Downside Deviation of 2.37 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0519%. Nokia has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.22, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Nokia's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nokia is expected to be smaller as well. Nokia right now secures a risk of 2.47%. Please verify Nokia total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Nokia will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.79  

Good predictability

Nokia has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nokia time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nokia price movement. The serial correlation of 0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Nokia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.79
Spearman Rank Test0.81
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Nokia lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nokia pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nokia's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nokia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nokia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nokia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nokia pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nokia pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nokia pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nokia Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nokia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nokia pink sheet have on its future price. Nokia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nokia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nokia pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nokia.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Nokia Pink Sheet

Nokia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nokia Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nokia with respect to the benefits of owning Nokia security.