Northern Small Cap Fund Market Value
| NOSGX Fund | USD 22.39 0.35 1.59% |
| Symbol | Northern |
Northern Small 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Northern Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Northern Small.
| 10/24/2024 |
| 11/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Northern Small on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Northern Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Northern Small over 30 days. Northern Small is related to or competes with Vanguard Small-cap, Vanguard Small-cap, Us Small, Us Targeted, Undiscovered Managers, Undiscovered Managers, and Undiscovered Managers. The fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of small capitalization companies, which... More
Northern Small Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Northern Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Northern Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.9335 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0021 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.05 |
Northern Small Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Northern Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Northern Small historical prices to predict the future Northern Small's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0672 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0947 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.003 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.34 |
Northern Small Cap Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Northern Mutual Fund to be very steady. Northern Small Cap has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0778, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0778% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Northern Small, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Northern Small's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0672, mean deviation of 0.9044, and Downside Deviation of 0.9335 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0763, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Northern Small's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Northern Small is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.25 |
Poor predictability
Northern Small Cap has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Northern Small time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Northern Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Northern Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.25 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.02 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.09 |
Northern Small Cap lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Northern Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Northern Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Northern Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Northern Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Northern Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Northern Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Northern Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Northern Small mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Northern Small Lagged Returns
When evaluating Northern Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Northern Small mutual fund have on its future price. Northern Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Northern Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Northern Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Northern Small Cap.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Northern Mutual Fund
Northern Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Small security.
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