Novolog Pharm (Israel) Market Value

NVLG Stock   169.90  0.50  0.30%   
Novolog Pharm's market value is the price at which a share of Novolog Pharm trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Novolog Pharm Up 1966 investors about its performance. Novolog Pharm is trading at 169.90 as of the 12th of December 2024, a 0.30 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 169.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Novolog Pharm Up 1966 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Novolog Pharm over a given investment horizon. Check out Novolog Pharm Correlation, Novolog Pharm Volatility and Novolog Pharm Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Novolog Pharm.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Novolog Pharm's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Novolog Pharm is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Novolog Pharm's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Novolog Pharm 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Novolog Pharm's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Novolog Pharm.
0.00
12/23/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Novolog Pharm on December 23, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Novolog Pharm Up 1966 or generate 0.0% return on investment in Novolog Pharm over 720 days. Novolog Pharm is related to or competes with Bezeq Israeli, Nova, Enlight Renewable, Tadiran Hldg, and Azrieli. Novolog Ltd operates as a health logistics company in Israel More

Novolog Pharm Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Novolog Pharm's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Novolog Pharm Up 1966 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Novolog Pharm Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Novolog Pharm's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Novolog Pharm's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Novolog Pharm historical prices to predict the future Novolog Pharm's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
167.72169.40171.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
134.85136.53186.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
163.36165.05166.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
133.98156.30178.62
Details

Novolog Pharm Up Backtested Returns

Novolog Pharm appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Novolog Pharm Up has Sharpe Ratio of 0.18, which conveys that the firm had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Novolog Pharm, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Novolog Pharm's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1386, mean deviation of 1.43, and Downside Deviation of 1.49 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Novolog Pharm holds a performance score of 14. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0082, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Novolog Pharm are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Novolog Pharm is likely to outperform the market. Please check Novolog Pharm's value at risk, downside variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Novolog Pharm's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.65  

Very good reverse predictability

Novolog Pharm Up 1966 has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Novolog Pharm time series from 23rd of December 2022 to 18th of December 2023 and 18th of December 2023 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Novolog Pharm Up price movement. The serial correlation of -0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Novolog Pharm price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.65
Spearman Rank Test-0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance100.9

Novolog Pharm Up lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Novolog Pharm stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Novolog Pharm's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Novolog Pharm returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Novolog Pharm has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Novolog Pharm regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Novolog Pharm stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Novolog Pharm stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Novolog Pharm stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Novolog Pharm Lagged Returns

When evaluating Novolog Pharm's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Novolog Pharm stock have on its future price. Novolog Pharm autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Novolog Pharm autocorrelation shows the relationship between Novolog Pharm stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Novolog Pharm Up 1966.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Novolog Stock

Novolog Pharm financial ratios help investors to determine whether Novolog Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Novolog with respect to the benefits of owning Novolog Pharm security.