Nationwide Bailard International Fund Market Value

NWHLX Fund  USD 9.53  0.04  0.42%   
Nationwide Bailard's market value is the price at which a share of Nationwide Bailard trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nationwide Bailard International investors about its performance. Nationwide Bailard is trading at 9.53 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.42 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.49.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nationwide Bailard International and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nationwide Bailard over a given investment horizon. Check out Nationwide Bailard Correlation, Nationwide Bailard Volatility and Nationwide Bailard Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nationwide Bailard.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nationwide Bailard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nationwide Bailard is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nationwide Bailard's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nationwide Bailard 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nationwide Bailard's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nationwide Bailard.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nationwide Bailard on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nationwide Bailard International or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nationwide Bailard over 30 days. Nationwide Bailard is related to or competes with Dunham Large, Americafirst Large, Aqr Large, Dodge Cox, Qs Us, Vanguard Equity, and American Mutual. The fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in the equity securities of issuers located in developed and,... More

Nationwide Bailard Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nationwide Bailard's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nationwide Bailard International upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nationwide Bailard Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nationwide Bailard's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nationwide Bailard's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nationwide Bailard historical prices to predict the future Nationwide Bailard's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.689.5310.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.289.139.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.659.5010.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.369.529.68
Details

Nationwide Bailard Backtested Returns

Nationwide Bailard has Sharpe Ratio of -0.1, which conveys that the entity had a -0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Nationwide Bailard exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Nationwide Bailard's Mean Deviation of 0.6612, risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Standard Deviation of 0.8352 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0574, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Nationwide Bailard are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Nationwide Bailard is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.25  

Weak reverse predictability

Nationwide Bailard International has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nationwide Bailard time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nationwide Bailard price movement. The serial correlation of -0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Nationwide Bailard price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.25
Spearman Rank Test-0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Nationwide Bailard lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nationwide Bailard mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nationwide Bailard's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nationwide Bailard returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nationwide Bailard has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nationwide Bailard regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nationwide Bailard mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nationwide Bailard mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nationwide Bailard mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nationwide Bailard Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nationwide Bailard's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nationwide Bailard mutual fund have on its future price. Nationwide Bailard autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nationwide Bailard autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nationwide Bailard mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nationwide Bailard International.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Nationwide Mutual Fund

Nationwide Bailard financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nationwide Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nationwide with respect to the benefits of owning Nationwide Bailard security.
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