Nextferm Technologies (Israel) Market Value

NXFR Stock  ILA 136.40  8.60  5.93%   
Nextferm Technologies' market value is the price at which a share of Nextferm Technologies trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nextferm Technologies investors about its performance. Nextferm Technologies is trading at 136.40 as of the 27th of November 2024, a 5.93 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 145.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nextferm Technologies and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nextferm Technologies over a given investment horizon. Check out Nextferm Technologies Correlation, Nextferm Technologies Volatility and Nextferm Technologies Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nextferm Technologies.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nextferm Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nextferm Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nextferm Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nextferm Technologies 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nextferm Technologies' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nextferm Technologies.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nextferm Technologies on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nextferm Technologies or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nextferm Technologies over 30 days. Nextferm Technologies is related to or competes with Willy Food, Millennium Food, B Communications, Nova, Petrochemical, and Israel Opportunity. NextFerm Technologies Ltd, a food-tech company, develops and produces active ingredients based on in-house yeast develop... More

Nextferm Technologies Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nextferm Technologies' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nextferm Technologies upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nextferm Technologies Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nextferm Technologies' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nextferm Technologies' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nextferm Technologies historical prices to predict the future Nextferm Technologies' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
127.81136.40144.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
122.35130.94139.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
100.94109.53118.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
118.03150.47182.92
Details

Nextferm Technologies Backtested Returns

Nextferm Technologies has Sharpe Ratio of -0.23, which conveys that the firm had a -0.23% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Nextferm Technologies exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Nextferm Technologies' Mean Deviation of 4.11, standard deviation of 7.32, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.16) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.19, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Nextferm Technologies' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nextferm Technologies is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Nextferm Technologies has a negative expected return of -1.99%. Please make sure to verify Nextferm Technologies' skewness, accumulation distribution, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and daily balance of power , to decide if Nextferm Technologies performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.41  

Average predictability

Nextferm Technologies has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nextferm Technologies time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nextferm Technologies price movement. The serial correlation of 0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Nextferm Technologies price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.41
Spearman Rank Test0.28
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance131.94

Nextferm Technologies lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nextferm Technologies stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nextferm Technologies' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nextferm Technologies returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nextferm Technologies has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nextferm Technologies regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nextferm Technologies stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nextferm Technologies stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nextferm Technologies stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nextferm Technologies Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nextferm Technologies' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nextferm Technologies stock have on its future price. Nextferm Technologies autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nextferm Technologies autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nextferm Technologies stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nextferm Technologies.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Nextferm Stock

Nextferm Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nextferm Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nextferm with respect to the benefits of owning Nextferm Technologies security.