Oaktree Specialty Lending Stock Market Value

OCSL Stock  USD 15.85  0.29  1.86%   
Oaktree Specialty's market value is the price at which a share of Oaktree Specialty trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Oaktree Specialty Lending investors about its performance. Oaktree Specialty is selling for 15.85 as of the 24th of November 2024. This is a 1.86% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 15.48.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Oaktree Specialty Lending and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Oaktree Specialty over a given investment horizon. Check out Oaktree Specialty Correlation, Oaktree Specialty Volatility and Oaktree Specialty Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Oaktree Specialty.
Symbol

Oaktree Specialty Lending Price To Book Ratio

Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oaktree Specialty. If investors know Oaktree will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oaktree Specialty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.97)
Earnings Share
0.72
Revenue Per Share
4.913
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Return On Assets
0.0575
The market value of Oaktree Specialty Lending is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oaktree that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oaktree Specialty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oaktree Specialty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oaktree Specialty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oaktree Specialty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oaktree Specialty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oaktree Specialty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oaktree Specialty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Oaktree Specialty 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Oaktree Specialty's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Oaktree Specialty.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Oaktree Specialty on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Oaktree Specialty Lending or generate 0.0% return on investment in Oaktree Specialty over 30 days. Oaktree Specialty is related to or competes with Barings BDC, OneMain Holdings, Runway Growth, Ally Financial, Federal Agricultural, Green Dot, and Consumer Portfolio. Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation is a business development company specializing in investments in middle market, br... More

Oaktree Specialty Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Oaktree Specialty's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Oaktree Specialty Lending upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Oaktree Specialty Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Oaktree Specialty's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Oaktree Specialty's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Oaktree Specialty historical prices to predict the future Oaktree Specialty's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oaktree Specialty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8915.8616.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2718.7419.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.8115.7816.75
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.5721.5023.87
Details

Oaktree Specialty Lending Backtested Returns

Oaktree Specialty Lending maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0523, which implies the firm had a -0.0523% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Oaktree Specialty Lending exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Oaktree Specialty's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), coefficient of variation of (2,003), and Variance of 0.925 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.52, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Oaktree Specialty's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Oaktree Specialty is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Oaktree Specialty Lending has a negative expected return of -0.0506%. Please make sure to check Oaktree Specialty's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Oaktree Specialty Lending performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.69  

Good predictability

Oaktree Specialty Lending has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Oaktree Specialty time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Oaktree Specialty Lending price movement. The serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Oaktree Specialty price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.69
Spearman Rank Test0.28
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Oaktree Specialty Lending lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Oaktree Specialty stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Oaktree Specialty's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Oaktree Specialty returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Oaktree Specialty has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Oaktree Specialty regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Oaktree Specialty stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Oaktree Specialty stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Oaktree Specialty stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Oaktree Specialty Lagged Returns

When evaluating Oaktree Specialty's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Oaktree Specialty stock have on its future price. Oaktree Specialty autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Oaktree Specialty autocorrelation shows the relationship between Oaktree Specialty stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Oaktree Specialty Lending.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Oaktree Specialty Lending is a strong investment it is important to analyze Oaktree Specialty's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Oaktree Specialty's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Oaktree Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Oaktree Specialty Correlation, Oaktree Specialty Volatility and Oaktree Specialty Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Oaktree Specialty.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Oaktree Specialty technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Oaktree Specialty technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Oaktree Specialty trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...