Verbund Ag Adr Stock Market Value

OEZVY Stock  USD 15.34  0.39  2.48%   
Verbund AG's market value is the price at which a share of Verbund AG trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Verbund AG ADR investors about its performance. Verbund AG is trading at 15.34 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 2.48% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 15.73.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Verbund AG ADR and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Verbund AG over a given investment horizon. Check out Verbund AG Correlation, Verbund AG Volatility and Verbund AG Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Verbund AG.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Verbund AG's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Verbund AG is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Verbund AG's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Verbund AG 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Verbund AG's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Verbund AG.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Verbund AG on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Verbund AG ADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in Verbund AG over 30 days. Verbund AG is related to or competes with Tokyo Electric, Clearway Energy, Brookfield Renewable, Clearway Energy, and Nextera Energy. VERBUND AG, together with its subsidiaries, generates, trades, and sells electricity to energy exchanges, traders, elect... More

Verbund AG Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Verbund AG's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Verbund AG ADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Verbund AG Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Verbund AG's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Verbund AG's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Verbund AG historical prices to predict the future Verbund AG's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Verbund AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.1315.3418.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2913.5016.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.9616.1719.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.6816.1617.64
Details

Verbund AG ADR Backtested Returns

Verbund AG ADR owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0315, which indicates the firm had a -0.0315% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Verbund AG ADR exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Verbund AG's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,275), variance of 11.43, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.39, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Verbund AG are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Verbund AG is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Verbund AG ADR has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to validate Verbund AG's daily balance of power, and the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Verbund AG ADR performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.48  

Average predictability

Verbund AG ADR has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Verbund AG time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Verbund AG ADR price movement. The serial correlation of 0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Verbund AG price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.48
Spearman Rank Test0.51
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.27

Verbund AG ADR lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Verbund AG pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Verbund AG's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Verbund AG returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Verbund AG has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Verbund AG regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Verbund AG pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Verbund AG pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Verbund AG pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Verbund AG Lagged Returns

When evaluating Verbund AG's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Verbund AG pink sheet have on its future price. Verbund AG autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Verbund AG autocorrelation shows the relationship between Verbund AG pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Verbund AG ADR.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Verbund Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Verbund AG's price analysis, check to measure Verbund AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Verbund AG is operating at the current time. Most of Verbund AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Verbund AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Verbund AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Verbund AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.