Orell Fuessli (Switzerland) Market Value

OFN Stock  CHF 76.80  0.20  0.26%   
Orell Fuessli's market value is the price at which a share of Orell Fuessli trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Orell Fuessli Holding investors about its performance. Orell Fuessli is selling for under 76.80 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.26 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 76.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Orell Fuessli Holding and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Orell Fuessli over a given investment horizon. Check out Orell Fuessli Correlation, Orell Fuessli Volatility and Orell Fuessli Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Orell Fuessli.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Orell Fuessli's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orell Fuessli is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orell Fuessli's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Orell Fuessli 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Orell Fuessli's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Orell Fuessli.
0.00
12/11/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Orell Fuessli on December 11, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Orell Fuessli Holding or generate 0.0% return on investment in Orell Fuessli over 720 days. Orell Fuessli is related to or competes with Hubersuhner, Implenia, Carlo Gavazzi, Mikron Holding, and Bucher Industries. Orell Fssli Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in banknote and security printing, industrial systems, a... More

Orell Fuessli Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Orell Fuessli's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Orell Fuessli Holding upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Orell Fuessli Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Orell Fuessli's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Orell Fuessli's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Orell Fuessli historical prices to predict the future Orell Fuessli's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.9476.8077.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.6976.5577.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
76.2877.1377.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.5476.8277.10
Details

Orell Fuessli Holding Backtested Returns

Orell Fuessli Holding maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0095, which implies the firm had a -0.0095% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Orell Fuessli Holding exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Orell Fuessli's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), variance of 0.7421, and Coefficient Of Variation of (4,344) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.019, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Orell Fuessli's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Orell Fuessli is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Orell Fuessli Holding has a negative expected return of -0.0082%. Please make sure to check Orell Fuessli's skewness, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Orell Fuessli Holding performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.56  

Good reverse predictability

Orell Fuessli Holding has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Orell Fuessli time series from 11th of December 2022 to 6th of December 2023 and 6th of December 2023 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Orell Fuessli Holding price movement. The serial correlation of -0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current Orell Fuessli price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.56
Spearman Rank Test-0.47
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance9.05

Orell Fuessli Holding lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Orell Fuessli stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Orell Fuessli's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Orell Fuessli returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Orell Fuessli has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Orell Fuessli regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Orell Fuessli stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Orell Fuessli stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Orell Fuessli stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Orell Fuessli Lagged Returns

When evaluating Orell Fuessli's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Orell Fuessli stock have on its future price. Orell Fuessli autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Orell Fuessli autocorrelation shows the relationship between Orell Fuessli stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Orell Fuessli Holding.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Orell Stock Analysis

When running Orell Fuessli's price analysis, check to measure Orell Fuessli's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orell Fuessli is operating at the current time. Most of Orell Fuessli's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orell Fuessli's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orell Fuessli's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orell Fuessli to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.