Origin Energy Limited Stock Market Value

OGFGF Stock  USD 8.50  1.33  18.55%   
Origin Energy's market value is the price at which a share of Origin Energy trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Origin Energy Limited investors about its performance. Origin Energy is trading at 8.50 as of the 2nd of March 2026. This is a 18.55 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 8.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Origin Energy Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Origin Energy over a given investment horizon. Check out Origin Energy Correlation, Origin Energy Volatility and Origin Energy Performance module to complement your research on Origin Energy.
Symbol

It's important to distinguish between Origin Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Origin Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Origin Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Origin Energy 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Origin Energy's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Origin Energy.
0.00
12/02/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/02/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Origin Energy on December 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Origin Energy Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Origin Energy over 90 days. Origin Energy is related to or competes with Galp Energia, Santos, Santos, Yanzhou Coal, OMV Aktiengesellscha, JSC National, and PTT Exploration. Origin Energy Limited, an integrated energy company, engages in the exploration and production of natural gas, electrici... More

Origin Energy Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Origin Energy's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Origin Energy Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Origin Energy Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Origin Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Origin Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Origin Energy historical prices to predict the future Origin Energy's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.948.5011.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.618.1710.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.469.0211.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.508.508.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Origin Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Origin Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Origin Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Origin Energy Limited.

Origin Energy March 2, 2026 Technical Indicators

Origin Energy Limited Backtested Returns

Origin Energy appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Origin Energy Limited maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.087, which implies the firm had a 0.087 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found nineteen technical indicators for Origin Energy Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Origin Energy's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.071, variance of 6.14, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1195.15 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Origin Energy holds a performance score of 6. The company holds a Beta of 0.21, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Origin Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Origin Energy is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Origin Energy's kurtosis, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Origin Energy's historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.25  

Weak reverse predictability

Origin Energy Limited has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Origin Energy time series from 2nd of December 2025 to 16th of January 2026 and 16th of January 2026 to 2nd of March 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Origin Energy Limited price movement. The serial correlation of -0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Origin Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.81
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.32

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Origin Pink Sheet

Origin Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Origin Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Origin with respect to the benefits of owning Origin Energy security.