Orinda Income Opportunities Fund Market Value

OIODX Fund  USD 16.56  0.05  0.30%   
Orinda Income's market value is the price at which a share of Orinda Income trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Orinda Income Opportunities investors about its performance. Orinda Income is trading at 16.56 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.30 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 16.51.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Orinda Income Opportunities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Orinda Income over a given investment horizon. Check out Orinda Income Correlation, Orinda Income Volatility and Orinda Income Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Orinda Income.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Orinda Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orinda Income is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orinda Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Orinda Income 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Orinda Income's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Orinda Income.
0.00
05/06/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 6 months and 30 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Orinda Income on May 6, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Orinda Income Opportunities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Orinda Income over 210 days. Orinda Income is related to or competes with Cohen Steers, Cohen Steers, Cohen Steers, Cohen Steers, Cohen Steers, Cohen Steers, and Preferred Securities. The fund will invest in U.S. and non-U.S More

Orinda Income Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Orinda Income's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Orinda Income Opportunities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Orinda Income Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Orinda Income's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Orinda Income's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Orinda Income historical prices to predict the future Orinda Income's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Orinda Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.1216.5617.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.0816.5216.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.2616.7017.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.3216.5616.79
Details

Orinda Income Opport Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Orinda Mutual Fund to be very steady. Orinda Income Opport maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.16, which implies the entity had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Orinda Income Opport, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Orinda Income's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1239, coefficient of variation of 585.01, and Semi Deviation of 0.2629 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0714%. The fund holds a Beta of 0.15, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Orinda Income's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Orinda Income is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

Orinda Income Opportunities has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Orinda Income time series from 6th of May 2024 to 19th of August 2024 and 19th of August 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Orinda Income Opport price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Orinda Income price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.36
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.14

Orinda Income Opport lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Orinda Income mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Orinda Income's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Orinda Income returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Orinda Income has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Orinda Income regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Orinda Income mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Orinda Income mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Orinda Income mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Orinda Income Lagged Returns

When evaluating Orinda Income's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Orinda Income mutual fund have on its future price. Orinda Income autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Orinda Income autocorrelation shows the relationship between Orinda Income mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Orinda Income Opportunities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Orinda Mutual Fund

Orinda Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Orinda Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Orinda with respect to the benefits of owning Orinda Income security.
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