Oklahoma Municipal Fund Market Value

OKMIX Fund  USD 10.63  0.02  0.19%   
Oklahoma Municipal's market value is the price at which a share of Oklahoma Municipal trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Oklahoma Municipal Fund investors about its performance. Oklahoma Municipal is trading at 10.63 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.19 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.61.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Oklahoma Municipal Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Oklahoma Municipal over a given investment horizon. Check out Oklahoma Municipal Correlation, Oklahoma Municipal Volatility and Oklahoma Municipal Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Oklahoma Municipal.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Oklahoma Municipal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oklahoma Municipal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oklahoma Municipal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Oklahoma Municipal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Oklahoma Municipal's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Oklahoma Municipal.
0.00
08/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Oklahoma Municipal on August 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Oklahoma Municipal Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Oklahoma Municipal over 90 days. Oklahoma Municipal is related to or competes with Hennessy Technology, Allianzgi Technology, Dreyfus Technology, Janus Global, Invesco Technology, Allianzgi Technology, and Towpath Technology. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal securities that pay interest free from fede... More

Oklahoma Municipal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Oklahoma Municipal's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Oklahoma Municipal Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Oklahoma Municipal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Oklahoma Municipal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Oklahoma Municipal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Oklahoma Municipal historical prices to predict the future Oklahoma Municipal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3510.6310.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0710.3510.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3210.6010.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.4310.5410.65
Details

Oklahoma Municipal Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Oklahoma Mutual Fund to be very steady. Oklahoma Municipal maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0281, which implies the entity had a 0.0281% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Oklahoma Municipal, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Oklahoma Municipal's Semi Deviation of 0.2263, coefficient of variation of 4477.4, and insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0077%. The fund holds a Beta of -0.0845, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Oklahoma Municipal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Oklahoma Municipal is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.31  

Poor reverse predictability

Oklahoma Municipal Fund has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Oklahoma Municipal time series from 29th of August 2024 to 13th of October 2024 and 13th of October 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Oklahoma Municipal price movement. The serial correlation of -0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current Oklahoma Municipal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.31
Spearman Rank Test-0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Oklahoma Municipal lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Oklahoma Municipal mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Oklahoma Municipal's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Oklahoma Municipal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Oklahoma Municipal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Oklahoma Municipal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Oklahoma Municipal mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Oklahoma Municipal mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Oklahoma Municipal mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Oklahoma Municipal Lagged Returns

When evaluating Oklahoma Municipal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Oklahoma Municipal mutual fund have on its future price. Oklahoma Municipal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Oklahoma Municipal autocorrelation shows the relationship between Oklahoma Municipal mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Oklahoma Municipal Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Oklahoma Mutual Fund

Oklahoma Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oklahoma Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oklahoma with respect to the benefits of owning Oklahoma Municipal security.
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